DDM Analysis: 1713.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$59.77 - $139.94	$131.14
Multi-Stage	$20.72 - $22.67	$21.68
Blended Fair Value	$76.41
Current Price	$2.46
Upside	3,006.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.43%	0.00%	0.15	0.14	0.13	0.13	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.07	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	7.26%	4.12%	-0.53%	12.22%	37.78%	41.70%	95.92%	-56.84%	89.28%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.34%	9.07%	9.76%	9.32%	11.26%	4.94%	3.87%	2.08%	4.49%	2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	755.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	312.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)	443.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	151.19	94.50	56.70
Cash Retained (M)	443.34	443.34	443.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-151.19	-94.50	-56.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	292.15	348.85	386.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,074.36	1,074.36	1,074.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.32	0.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.29	0.29	0.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.32	0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.56	0.62	0.65
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$59.77	$131.14	$139.94
Upside / Downside	2,329.84%	5,230.99%	5,588.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	755.97	805.11	857.44	913.17	972.53	1,035.74	1,066.82
Payout Ratio	41.35%	51.08%	60.81%	70.54%	80.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	312.63	411.28	521.43	644.17	780.66	932.17	986.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	382.57	386.20	389.82
Year 2 PV (M)	451.19	459.78	468.45
Year 3 PV (M)	518.49	533.37	548.54
Year 4 PV (M)	584.49	606.97	630.09
Year 5 PV (M)	649.22	680.58	713.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,672.66	20,622.86	21,609.42
Equity Value (M)	22,258.62	23,289.75	24,359.46
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,074.36	1,074.36	1,074.36
Fair Value	$20.72	$21.68	$22.67
Upside / Downside	742.20%	781.21%	821.69%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Sichuan Energy Investment Development Co., Ltd. (1713.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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