Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hankook Tire & Technology Co., Ltd. (161390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$178,416.24 - $465,933.14$271,498.88
Multi-Stage$122,905.27 - $134,265.75$128,482.53
Blended Fair Value$199,990.71
Current Price$39,750.00
Upside403.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.28%12.35%1,295.81802.72697.30647.49556.25455.13404.56438.22404.56404.54
YoY Growth--61.43%15.12%7.69%16.40%22.22%12.50%-7.68%8.32%0.00%0.01%
Dividend Yield--3.28%1.48%2.00%1.92%1.13%2.35%1.05%0.82%0.74%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)943,298.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243,977.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)699,320.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188,659.64117,912.2870,747.37
Cash Retained (M)699,320.70699,320.70699,320.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-188,659.64-117,912.28-70,747.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)510,661.06581,408.43628,573.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.46122.46122.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,170.134,747.875,133.02
LTM Dividend per Share1,992.361,992.361,992.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,170.134,747.875,133.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,162.496,740.227,125.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$178,416.24$271,498.88$465,933.14
Upside / Downside348.85%583.02%1,072.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)943,298.211,004,612.591,069,912.411,139,456.721,213,521.401,292,400.291,331,172.30
Payout Ratio25.86%38.69%51.52%64.35%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243,977.51388,699.10551,203.70733,191.64936,509.181,163,160.261,231,334.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)352,790.32356,134.30359,478.29
Year 2 PV (M)454,065.35462,714.02471,444.28
Year 3 PV (M)548,184.64563,921.06579,955.78
Year 4 PV (M)635,513.12659,953.16685,091.44
Year 5 PV (M)716,399.31751,001.67786,928.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,343,627.0612,939,828.8713,558,848.72
Equity Value (M)15,050,579.8115,733,553.0716,441,746.83
Shares Outstanding (M)122.46122.46122.46
Fair Value$122,905.27$128,482.53$134,265.75
Upside / Downside209.20%223.23%237.78%

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