DDM Analysis: 1209.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.85 - $44.43	$36.10
Multi-Stage	$65.63 - $72.16	$68.83
Blended Fair Value	$52.46
Current Price	$34.62
Upside	51.54%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.34	0.92	0.42	0.13	0.29	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	46.05%	117.07%	220.84%	-55.05%	0.00%	-100.00%	95.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.93%	3.75%	1.20%	0.44%	0.97%	0.00%	0.12%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	7,185.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,142.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,043.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,437.19	898.25	538.95
Cash Retained (M)	2,043.86	2,043.86	2,043.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,437.19	-898.25	-538.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	606.67	1,145.62	1,504.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,282.50	2,282.50	2,282.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.50	0.66
LTM Dividend per Share	2.25	2.25	2.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.50	0.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.52	2.75	2.91
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$28.85	$36.10	$44.43
Upside / Downside	-16.66%	4.27%	28.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	7,185.97	7,114.11	7,042.97	6,972.54	6,902.81	6,833.78	7,038.80
Payout Ratio	71.56%	75.25%	78.93%	82.62%	86.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,142.11	5,353.09	5,559.34	5,760.92	5,957.92	6,150.41	6,510.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,973.03	5,023.78	5,074.52
Year 2 PV (M)	4,797.96	4,896.37	4,995.79
Year 3 PV (M)	4,618.94	4,761.78	4,907.54
Year 4 PV (M)	4,437.74	4,621.66	4,811.24
Year 5 PV (M)	4,255.86	4,477.47	4,708.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	126,728.15	133,327.17	140,198.29
Equity Value (M)	149,811.66	157,108.24	164,695.60
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,282.50	2,282.50	2,282.50
Fair Value	$65.63	$68.83	$72.16
Upside / Downside	89.59%	98.82%	108.42%

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China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited (1209.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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