Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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APAC Resources Limited (1104.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.27 - $6.57$5.34
Multi-Stage$9.38 - $10.32$9.84
Blended Fair Value$7.59
Current Price$0.96
Upside690.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.060.090.190.090.090.020.010.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-37.37%-51.56%113.66%0.00%343.90%101.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.55%8.61%15.61%7.02%10.70%1.93%0.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)633.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)419.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.7879.2447.54
Cash Retained (M)419.21419.21419.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.78-79.24-47.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.43339.98371.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.021,356.021,356.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.27$5.34$6.57
Upside / Downside344.89%456.41%584.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)633.89627.55621.28615.07608.92602.83620.91
Payout Ratio33.87%45.09%56.32%67.55%78.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.68282.99349.90415.46479.66542.54574.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)262.83265.51268.19
Year 2 PV (M)301.84308.03314.28
Year 3 PV (M)332.86343.15353.66
Year 4 PV (M)356.93371.72386.97
Year 5 PV (M)374.96394.49414.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,084.5711,661.7712,262.77
Equity Value (M)12,713.9913,344.6814,000.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.021,356.021,356.02
Fair Value$9.38$9.84$10.32
Upside / Downside876.66%925.11%975.50%

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