Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Essex Bio-Technology Limited (1061.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$167.25 - $197.05$184.67
Multi-Stage$45.14 - $49.48$47.27
Blended Fair Value$115.97
Current Price$4.41
Upside2,529.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.65%19.51%0.100.070.090.090.050.070.050.060.020.02
YoY Growth--49.25%-26.78%5.08%79.57%-26.56%25.29%-2.00%129.08%14.21%22.22%
Dividend Yield--3.49%2.80%2.23%1.80%1.16%1.07%1.20%1.19%0.72%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)576.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)119.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)456.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.2172.0143.21
Cash Retained (M)456.81456.81456.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.21-72.01-43.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)341.60384.80413.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)581.40581.40581.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.660.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.660.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate5.27%5.27%5.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$167.25$184.67$197.05
Upside / Downside3,692.59%4,087.46%4,368.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)576.07613.52653.39695.87741.10789.27812.95
Payout Ratio20.70%34.56%48.42%62.28%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)119.26212.04316.38433.39564.27710.34751.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.27%5.27%5.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199.53201.42203.32
Year 2 PV (M)280.16285.49290.88
Year 3 PV (M)361.13371.50382.06
Year 4 PV (M)442.46459.47476.97
Year 5 PV (M)524.14549.45575.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,435.4125,615.6526,841.06
Equity Value (M)26,242.8227,482.9928,770.02
Shares Outstanding (M)581.40581.40581.40
Fair Value$45.14$47.27$49.48
Upside / Downside923.52%971.89%1,022.09%

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