DDM Analysis: 0QQ6.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$250.47 - $429.69	$327.95
Multi-Stage	$799.54 - $881.01	$839.47
Blended Fair Value	$583.71
Current Price	$258.40
Upside	125.89%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.53%	1.31%	9.52	9.45	9.27	9.68	9.59	9.27	9.03	8.89	8.76	8.66
YoY Growth	-	-	0.79%	1.93%	-4.21%	0.95%	3.37%	2.70%	1.58%	1.42%	1.24%	3.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.73%	3.86%	3.19%	2.55%	3.10%	2.95%	3.62%	3.61%	3.77%	3.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,542.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,800.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,268.60	2,042.88	1,225.73
Cash Retained (M)	4,800.50	4,800.50	4,800.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,268.60	-2,042.88	-1,225.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,531.90	2,757.63	3,574.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	803.25	803.25	803.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.91	3.43	4.45
LTM Dividend per Share	14.37	14.37	14.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.91	3.43	4.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.28	17.80	18.82
WACC / Discount Rate	4.94%	4.94%	4.94%
Growth Rate	-1.47%	-0.47%	0.53%
Fair Value	$250.47	$327.95	$429.69
Upside / Downside	-3.07%	26.91%	66.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16,343.00	16,266.83	16,191.02	16,115.56	16,040.45	15,965.69	16,444.66
Payout Ratio	70.63%	74.50%	78.38%	82.25%	86.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,542.50	12,118.99	12,689.86	13,255.15	13,814.89	14,369.12	15,211.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.94%	4.94%	4.94%
Growth Rate	-1.47%	-0.47%	0.53%
Year 1 PV (M)	11,432.77	11,548.80	11,664.83
Year 2 PV (M)	11,293.46	11,523.85	11,756.57
Year 3 PV (M)	11,128.58	11,470.86	11,820.08
Year 4 PV (M)	10,941.77	11,392.76	11,857.55
Year 5 PV (M)	10,736.32	11,292.30	11,871.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)	586,694.66	617,076.30	648,703.75
Equity Value (M)	642,227.57	674,304.88	707,673.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	803.25	803.25	803.25
Fair Value	$799.54	$839.47	$881.01
Upside / Downside	209.42%	224.87%	240.95%

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Roche Holding AG (0QQ6.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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