Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Geberit AG (0QQ2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$474.42 - $840.60$629.30
Multi-Stage$1,136.29 - $1,249.84$1,191.96
Blended Fair Value$910.63
Current Price$624.00
Upside45.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.52%4.05%12.6312.7613.0412.1812.1611.7111.4611.099.319.35
YoY Growth---0.99%-2.17%7.07%0.12%3.86%2.15%3.37%19.11%-0.45%10.18%
Dividend Yield--2.45%2.37%2.99%1.63%2.19%2.16%3.06%2.58%2.28%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,184.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)343.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)236.82148.0188.81
Cash Retained (M)343.10343.10343.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-236.82-148.01-88.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.28195.09254.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
LTM Dividend per Share25.3225.3225.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.5231.1932.97
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$474.42$629.30$840.60
Upside / Downside-23.97%0.85%34.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,184.101,190.271,196.471,202.711,208.981,215.281,251.74
Payout Ratio71.02%74.82%78.61%82.41%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)841.00890.55940.60991.151,042.201,093.751,157.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)835.70844.10852.50
Year 2 PV (M)828.30845.03861.93
Year 3 PV (M)819.06844.00869.44
Year 4 PV (M)808.20841.17875.15
Year 5 PV (M)795.93836.73879.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,657.9535,383.2837,178.63
Equity Value (M)37,745.1539,594.3141,516.83
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
Fair Value$1,136.29$1,191.96$1,249.84
Upside / Downside82.10%91.02%100.29%

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