Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Allreal Holding AG (0QPD.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$259.74 - $441.59$338.82
Multi-Stage$456.36 - $500.75$478.13
Blended Fair Value$408.48
Current Price$186.20
Upside119.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.28%2.81%7.007.007.006.466.506.266.015.555.555.30
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%8.34%-0.56%3.87%4.03%8.29%0.11%4.69%-0.11%
Dividend Yield--4.23%4.65%4.65%3.20%3.19%3.25%3.87%3.37%3.67%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)349.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)231.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)117.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.8243.6426.18
Cash Retained (M)117.90117.90117.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.82-43.64-26.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.0874.2691.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.5116.5116.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.914.505.55
LTM Dividend per Share14.0014.0014.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.914.505.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.9118.5019.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate0.28%1.28%2.28%
Fair Value$259.74$338.82$441.59
Upside / Downside39.50%81.97%137.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)349.10353.55358.06362.63367.25371.94383.10
Payout Ratio66.23%70.98%75.74%80.49%85.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)231.20250.96271.18291.88313.07334.74354.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate0.28%1.28%2.28%
Year 1 PV (M)232.65234.97237.29
Year 2 PV (M)233.06237.73242.45
Year 3 PV (M)232.55239.57246.74
Year 4 PV (M)231.23240.59250.23
Year 5 PV (M)229.20240.86252.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,377.366,701.767,039.23
Equity Value (M)7,536.057,895.488,268.93
Shares Outstanding (M)16.5116.5116.51
Fair Value$456.36$478.13$500.75
Upside / Downside145.09%156.78%168.93%

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