Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Ascom Holding AG (0QON.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.29 - $4.69$3.97
Multi-Stage$8.13 - $8.95$8.53
Blended Fair Value$6.25
Current Price$3.61
Upside73.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.79%-2.56%0.300.200.200.000.000.450.450.790.440.43
YoY Growth--50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-43.75%78.88%1.90%12.86%
Dividend Yield--7.14%2.41%2.66%0.00%0.00%4.23%3.45%3.14%2.77%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.642.281.37
Cash Retained (M)3.803.803.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.64-2.28-1.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.161.532.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.3736.3736.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.440.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-4.56%-3.56%-2.56%
Fair Value$3.29$3.97$4.69
Upside / Downside-8.97%10.08%29.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.2017.5516.9316.3215.7415.1815.64
Payout Ratio79.12%81.30%83.47%85.65%87.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.4014.2714.1313.9813.8313.6614.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-4.56%-3.56%-2.56%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1913.3313.47
Year 2 PV (M)12.0712.3312.58
Year 3 PV (M)11.0411.3911.75
Year 4 PV (M)10.0910.5210.97
Year 5 PV (M)9.229.7110.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)240.20253.05266.45
Equity Value (M)295.82310.33325.44
Shares Outstanding (M)36.3736.3736.37
Fair Value$8.13$8.53$8.95
Upside / Downside125.29%136.34%147.85%

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