Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (0QLK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,431.56 - $10,549.22$8,266.28
Multi-Stage$14,422.82 - $15,890.65$15,142.31
Blended Fair Value$11,704.30
Current Price$4,120.00
Upside184.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.87%120.25115.24115.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.92%2.85%2.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.325.203.12
Cash Retained (M)33.3333.3333.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.32-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.0128.1330.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.070.070.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share348.05391.49420.44
LTM Dividend per Share115.24115.24115.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share348.05391.49420.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend463.29506.73535.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$6,431.56$8,266.28$10,549.22
Upside / Downside56.11%100.64%156.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.6141.5641.5141.4541.4041.3542.59
Payout Ratio19.90%33.92%47.94%61.96%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.2814.1019.9025.6831.4637.2139.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1713.3013.43
Year 2 PV (M)17.3617.7118.07
Year 3 PV (M)20.9321.5722.22
Year 4 PV (M)23.9424.9225.93
Year 5 PV (M)26.4527.8129.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)934.46982.681,032.87
Equity Value (M)1,036.291,087.991,141.76
Shares Outstanding (M)0.070.070.07
Fair Value$14,422.82$15,142.31$15,890.65
Upside / Downside250.07%267.53%285.70%

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