Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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INFICON Holding AG (0QK5.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$351.17 - $1,572.28$818.49
Multi-Stage$183.21 - $200.30$191.60
Blended Fair Value$505.04
Current Price$134.11
Upside276.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.53%4.02%2.251.962.231.731.852.192.041.571.321.56
YoY Growth--15.03%-12.29%29.01%-6.43%-15.68%7.29%29.84%19.34%-15.36%2.65%
Dividend Yield--1.97%1.36%2.55%1.18%2.03%2.76%4.28%2.52%3.66%4.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)193.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)109.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.6324.1414.49
Cash Retained (M)109.06109.06109.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.63-24.14-14.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.4384.9194.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.4324.4324.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.883.483.87
LTM Dividend per Share3.443.443.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.883.483.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.326.927.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$351.17$818.49$1,572.28
Upside / Downside161.85%510.31%1,072.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)193.15205.70219.07233.31248.48264.63272.57
Payout Ratio43.54%52.83%62.12%71.42%80.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.09108.67136.09166.62200.54238.17252.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)100.23101.19102.14
Year 2 PV (M)115.78117.99120.21
Year 3 PV (M)130.74134.50138.32
Year 4 PV (M)145.14150.72156.47
Year 5 PV (M)158.99166.67174.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,825.124,009.874,201.70
Equity Value (M)4,476.014,680.934,893.47
Shares Outstanding (M)24.4324.4324.43
Fair Value$183.21$191.60$200.30
Upside / Downside36.61%42.87%49.35%

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