Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Markel Corporation (0JYM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,687.80 - $32,292.36$30,262.67
Multi-Stage$4,531.71 - $4,966.21$4,744.95
Blended Fair Value$17,503.81
Current Price$1,911.36
Upside815.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,079.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,061.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)415.88259.92155.95
Cash Retained (M)2,061.382,061.382,061.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-415.88-259.92-155.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,645.501,801.451,905.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8112.8112.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share128.49140.67148.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share128.49140.67148.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.90142.08150.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,687.80$30,262.67$32,292.36
Upside / Downside563.81%1,483.31%1,589.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,079.382,214.542,358.482,511.782,675.052,848.932,934.39
Payout Ratio0.87%18.69%36.52%54.35%72.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.00413.95861.301,365.061,930.672,564.032,714.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)384.75388.40392.04
Year 2 PV (M)744.06758.23772.54
Year 3 PV (M)1,096.051,127.521,159.58
Year 4 PV (M)1,440.831,496.241,553.24
Year 5 PV (M)1,778.511,864.411,953.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,588.9355,129.0057,766.28
Equity Value (M)58,033.1460,763.8063,597.28
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8112.8112.81
Fair Value$4,531.71$4,744.95$4,966.21
Upside / Downside137.09%148.25%159.83%

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