DDM Analysis: 0JQQ.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$49.71 - $115.46	$72.84
Multi-Stage	$61.22 - $67.02	$64.06
Blended Fair Value	$68.45
Current Price	$59.74
Upside	14.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.54%	4.67%	2.04	2.02	1.86	1.72	1.67	1.63	1.57	1.51	1.45	1.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.82%	8.68%	7.79%	3.09%	2.53%	4.09%	3.84%	4.14%	2.04%	10.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.24%	3.24%	2.33%	1.91%	2.93%	4.64%	3.67%	3.48%	3.15%	3.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,189.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	984.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	205.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	237.80	148.63	89.18
Cash Retained (M)	205.00	205.00	205.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-237.80	-148.63	-89.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-32.80	56.38	115.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	483.75	483.75	483.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.12	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	2.03	2.03	2.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.12	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.97	2.15	2.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	2.67%	3.67%	4.67%
Fair Value	$49.71	$72.84	$115.46
Upside / Downside	-16.79%	21.93%	93.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,189.00	1,232.64	1,277.89	1,324.80	1,373.43	1,423.84	1,466.56
Payout Ratio	82.76%	84.21%	85.66%	87.10%	88.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	984.00	1,037.97	1,094.58	1,153.95	1,216.19	1,281.46	1,356.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	2.67%	3.67%	4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	963.12	972.51	981.89
Year 2 PV (M)	942.41	960.86	979.49
Year 3 PV (M)	921.88	949.08	976.81
Year 4 PV (M)	901.55	937.19	973.88
Year 5 PV (M)	881.43	925.20	970.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	25,004.50	26,246.16	27,536.66
Equity Value (M)	29,614.91	30,991.01	32,419.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	483.75	483.75	483.75
Fair Value	$61.22	$64.06	$67.02
Upside / Downside	2.48%	7.24%	12.18%

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (0JQQ.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener