Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (0J5I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$873.67 - $1,316.16$1,232.97
Multi-Stage$654.58 - $721.14$687.22
Blended Fair Value$960.09
Current Price$260.62
Upside268.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.70%0.00%0.620.650.510.000.170.710.750.811.140.57
YoY Growth---5.06%28.46%0.00%-100.00%-75.58%-4.97%-7.18%-29.60%100.72%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.31%0.36%0.00%0.14%1.31%0.89%1.03%1.68%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,665.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)145.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,520.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)333.00208.13124.88
Cash Retained (M)1,520.001,520.001,520.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-333.00-208.13-124.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,187.001,311.881,395.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)242.00242.00242.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.905.425.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.905.425.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.506.026.36
WACC / Discount Rate2.04%2.04%2.04%
Growth Rate1.40%2.40%3.40%
Fair Value$873.67$1,232.97$1,316.16
Upside / Downside235.23%373.09%405.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,665.001,705.031,746.011,787.991,830.971,874.981,931.23
Payout Ratio8.71%24.97%41.23%57.48%73.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)145.00425.69719.801,027.801,350.191,687.481,786.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.04%2.04%2.04%
Growth Rate1.40%2.40%3.40%
Year 1 PV (M)413.10417.17421.25
Year 2 PV (M)677.83691.27704.83
Year 3 PV (M)939.24967.30995.91
Year 4 PV (M)1,197.341,245.271,294.63
Year 5 PV (M)1,452.181,525.211,601.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)153,728.99161,460.00169,498.97
Equity Value (M)158,408.67166,306.22174,516.74
Shares Outstanding (M)242.00242.00242.00
Fair Value$654.58$687.22$721.14
Upside / Downside151.16%163.68%176.70%

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