Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thales S.A. (0IW5.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.76 - $434.56$281.48
Multi-Stage$233.95 - $256.14$244.84
Blended Fair Value$263.16
Current Price$249.60
Upside5.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.87%11.30%3.433.072.732.020.412.241.851.691.441.13
YoY Growth--11.79%12.48%35.11%390.01%-81.62%21.20%9.52%17.55%26.84%-3.62%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.29%2.29%2.70%0.55%2.42%1.81%1.85%1.56%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,075.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,459.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)615.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)415.08259.43155.66
Cash Retained (M)615.80615.80615.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-415.08-259.43-155.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.72356.38460.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)206.53206.53206.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.732.23
LTM Dividend per Share7.077.077.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.732.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.048.799.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Fair Value$194.76$281.48$434.56
Upside / Downside-21.97%12.77%74.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,075.402,152.612,232.702,315.762,401.922,491.282,566.02
Payout Ratio70.33%74.26%78.20%82.13%86.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,459.601,598.591,745.911,901.972,067.232,242.152,373.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Year 1 PV (M)1,480.161,494.571,508.97
Year 2 PV (M)1,496.791,526.071,555.64
Year 3 PV (M)1,509.781,554.301,599.69
Year 4 PV (M)1,519.381,579.421,641.22
Year 5 PV (M)1,525.851,601.591,680.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,786.1542,810.4844,914.40
Equity Value (M)48,318.1150,566.4252,900.23
Shares Outstanding (M)206.53206.53206.53
Fair Value$233.95$244.84$256.14
Upside / Downside-6.27%-1.91%2.62%

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