Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Analog Devices, Inc. (0HFN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$146.19 - $714.50$260.12
Multi-Stage$93.50 - $101.95$97.65
Blended Fair Value$178.89
Current Price$234.13
Upside-23.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172017
DPS16.78%14.63%3.873.613.383.112.231.781.571.421.211.03
YoY Growth--7.18%6.93%8.71%39.23%25.19%13.98%10.55%16.81%17.33%4.50%
Dividend Yield--1.65%1.71%2.11%1.82%1.41%1.21%1.43%1.41%1.33%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,267.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,924.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)342.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)453.47283.42170.05
Cash Retained (M)342.93342.93342.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-453.47-283.42-170.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)-110.5459.51172.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)496.71496.71496.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.220.120.35
LTM Dividend per Share3.873.873.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.220.120.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$146.19$260.12$714.50
Upside / Downside-37.56%11.10%205.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,267.342,414.722,571.682,738.842,916.863,106.463,199.65
Payout Ratio84.88%85.90%86.93%87.95%88.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,924.412,074.252,235.432,408.812,595.282,795.812,959.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,900.191,918.201,936.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,876.001,911.731,947.80
Year 3 PV (M)1,851.861,905.021,959.19
Year 4 PV (M)1,827.791,898.081,970.38
Year 5 PV (M)1,803.791,890.911,981.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,184.0938,980.1040,844.84
Equity Value (M)46,443.7248,504.0450,639.79
Shares Outstanding (M)496.71496.71496.71
Fair Value$93.50$97.65$101.95
Upside / Downside-60.06%-58.29%-56.46%

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