Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cencora (0HF3.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,346.37 - $1,586.25$1,486.55
Multi-Stage$586.84 - $643.74$614.76
Blended Fair Value$1,050.65
Current Price$312.53
Upside236.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.93%5.58%2.242.140.002.011.881.761.741.711.641.48
YoY Growth--5.03%0.00%-100.00%6.83%6.71%1.36%1.78%3.99%11.02%13.61%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.95%0.00%1.21%1.42%1.80%2.05%2.30%1.75%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,554.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)437.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,117.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)310.83194.27116.56
Cash Retained (M)1,117.091,117.091,117.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-310.83-194.27-116.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)806.25922.821,000.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)194.85194.85194.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.144.745.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.242.242.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.144.745.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.386.987.38
WACC / Discount Rate4.43%4.43%4.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,346.37$1,486.55$1,586.25
Upside / Downside330.80%375.65%407.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,554.171,655.191,762.781,877.361,999.392,129.352,193.23
Payout Ratio28.12%40.50%52.87%65.25%77.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)437.08670.33932.051,224.961,552.021,916.412,028.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.43%4.43%4.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)635.87641.90647.93
Year 2 PV (M)838.70854.68870.80
Year 3 PV (M)1,045.631,075.641,106.23
Year 4 PV (M)1,256.711,305.041,354.75
Year 5 PV (M)1,472.011,543.111,616.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)109,097.60114,367.06119,838.19
Equity Value (M)114,346.52119,787.43125,434.82
Shares Outstanding (M)194.85194.85194.85
Fair Value$586.84$614.76$643.74
Upside / Downside87.77%96.70%105.98%

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