DDM Analysis: 0GN6.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,591.71 - $3,053.47	$2,861.55
Multi-Stage	$921.54 - $1,010.56	$965.22
Blended Fair Value	$1,913.39
Current Price	$65.50
Upside	2,821.20%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	38.80%	16.29%	2.09	2.45	0.87	1.01	1.52	0.41	0.38	0.21	0.28	0.48
YoY Growth	-	-	-14.67%	182.97%	-13.85%	-33.86%	274.37%	7.29%	81.13%	-24.61%	-42.32%	3.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.46%	2.88%	1.14%	0.86%	1.82%	0.52%	0.86%	0.52%	1.11%	2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	385.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	117.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)	267.19

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	77.02	48.14	28.88
Cash Retained (M)	267.19	267.19	267.19
(-) Cash Required (M)	-77.02	-48.14	-28.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	190.17	219.05	238.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	25.08	25.08	25.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	7.58	8.73	9.50
LTM Dividend per Share	4.70	4.70	4.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	7.58	8.73	9.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend	12.28	13.43	14.20
WACC / Discount Rate	4.74%	4.74%	4.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2,591.71	$2,861.55	$3,053.47
Upside / Downside	3,856.81%	4,268.78%	4,561.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	385.12	410.15	436.81	465.20	495.44	527.65	543.48
Payout Ratio	30.62%	42.50%	54.37%	66.25%	78.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	117.93	174.30	237.51	308.19	387.06	474.88	502.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.74%	4.74%	4.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	164.84	166.41	167.97
Year 2 PV (M)	212.43	216.48	220.56
Year 3 PV (M)	260.70	268.18	275.81
Year 4 PV (M)	309.65	321.56	333.81
Year 5 PV (M)	359.30	376.65	394.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,808.12	22,861.46	23,955.11
Equity Value (M)	23,115.04	24,210.74	25,347.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	25.08	25.08	25.08
Fair Value	$921.54	$965.22	$1,010.56
Upside / Downside	1,306.93%	1,373.62%	1,442.84%

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Argan S.A. (0GN6.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener