Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

MicroStrategy Incorporated (0A7O.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$315.48 - $514.60$404.54
Multi-Stage$932.35 - $1,029.51$979.96
Blended Fair Value$692.25
Current Price$320.01
Upside116.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,917.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,859.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,583.54989.71593.83
Cash Retained (M)7,859.557,859.557,859.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,583.54-989.71-593.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,276.016,869.847,265.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.21272.21272.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.0625.2426.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.0625.2426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.2725.4526.91
WACC / Discount Rate5.23%5.23%5.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$315.48$404.54$514.60
Upside / Downside-1.42%26.41%60.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,917.697,838.517,760.137,682.537,605.707,529.647,755.53
Payout Ratio0.73%18.59%36.44%54.29%72.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.141,456.982,827.844,171.135,487.286,776.687,173.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.23%5.23%5.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,370.601,384.591,398.57
Year 2 PV (M)2,502.472,553.812,605.66
Year 3 PV (M)3,472.383,579.763,689.34
Year 4 PV (M)4,297.224,475.324,658.90
Year 5 PV (M)4,992.355,252.325,523.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)237,157.08249,506.40262,364.89
Equity Value (M)253,792.10266,752.19280,240.35
Shares Outstanding (M)272.21272.21272.21
Fair Value$932.35$979.96$1,029.51
Upside / Downside191.35%206.23%221.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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