Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chaowei Power Holdings Limited (0951.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.17 - $44.59$21.58
Multi-Stage$44.75 - $49.61$47.13
Blended Fair Value$34.36
Current Price$1.21
Upside2,739.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.04%-5.44%0.050.060.070.100.080.060.060.070.090.00
YoY Growth---20.43%-17.84%-23.91%29.36%33.17%-9.18%-8.82%-24.20%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.48%4.83%4.97%5.86%2.82%2.22%2.34%1.81%1.52%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)587.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)467.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.5673.4844.09
Cash Retained (M)467.17467.17467.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.56-73.48-44.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)349.61393.69423.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Fair Value$13.17$21.58$44.59
Upside / Downside988.41%1,683.88%3,584.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)587.82564.06541.26519.38498.39478.24492.59
Payout Ratio20.52%34.42%48.31%62.21%76.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.65194.15261.51323.11379.30430.42455.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)195.99198.05200.11
Year 2 PV (M)266.49272.13277.83
Year 3 PV (M)332.38342.99353.82
Year 4 PV (M)393.88410.73428.13
Year 5 PV (M)451.20475.46500.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,764.6750,333.2453,011.14
Equity Value (M)49,404.6052,032.6154,771.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
Fair Value$44.75$47.13$49.61
Upside / Downside3,597.97%3,794.67%3,999.70%

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