Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Partron Co., Ltd. (091700.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88,648.60 - $104,520.65$97,915.14
Multi-Stage$61,406.41 - $67,621.77$64,453.83
Blended Fair Value$81,184.49
Current Price$6,370.00
Upside1,174.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.98%-1.97%246.99302.76361.46235.98333.53203.19212.89240.60243.80248.83
YoY Growth---18.42%-16.24%53.17%-29.25%64.15%-4.56%-11.52%-1.31%-2.02%-17.47%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.78%4.38%2.17%3.12%2.66%1.58%2.77%2.12%2.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,275.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,139.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,136.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,855.183,659.492,195.69
Cash Retained (M)14,136.3914,136.3914,136.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,855.18-3,659.49-2,195.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,281.2110,476.9011,940.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
LTM Dividend per Share282.43282.43282.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.91477.87505.18
WACC / Discount Rate-1.13%-1.13%-1.13%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Fair Value$88,648.60$97,915.14$104,520.65
Upside / Downside1,291.66%1,437.13%1,540.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,275.8929,992.9530,727.5731,480.1832,251.2333,041.1634,032.39
Payout Ratio51.71%59.37%67.03%74.69%82.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,139.5117,806.9820,596.0523,511.0626,556.5129,737.0431,479.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.13%-1.13%-1.13%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)17,835.0618,010.8618,186.67
Year 2 PV (M)20,661.0521,070.3721,483.71
Year 3 PV (M)23,622.4424,327.9025,047.26
Year 4 PV (M)26,724.3927,793.7728,894.94
Year 5 PV (M)29,972.2031,478.8133,045.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,172,890.583,332,382.133,498,223.88
Equity Value (M)3,291,705.723,455,063.853,624,881.87
Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
Fair Value$61,406.41$64,453.83$67,621.77
Upside / Downside863.99%911.83%961.57%

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