DDM Analysis: 0906.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$145.65 - $171.60	$160.82
Multi-Stage	$31.48 - $34.48	$32.96
Blended Fair Value	$96.89
Current Price	$6.46
Upside	1,399.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	11.50%	13.07%	0.22	0.22	0.26	0.19	0.13	0.13	0.18	0.04	0.06	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	2.33%	-17.31%	38.74%	47.84%	-0.70%	-29.24%	307.28%	-23.94%	-18.75%	11.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.60%	5.76%	7.32%	6.25%	4.17%	3.87%	3.54%	1.30%	1.45%	2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	960.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	383.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	576.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	192.15	120.09	72.05
Cash Retained (M)	576.89	576.89	576.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-192.15	-120.09	-72.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	384.74	456.79	504.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,113.42	1,113.42	1,113.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.41	0.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.34	0.34	0.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.41	0.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.69	0.76	0.80
WACC / Discount Rate	5.84%	5.84%	5.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$145.65	$160.82	$171.60
Upside / Downside	2,154.67%	2,389.42%	2,556.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	960.73	1,023.18	1,089.69	1,160.52	1,235.95	1,316.29	1,355.78
Payout Ratio	39.95%	49.96%	59.97%	69.98%	79.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	383.85	511.21	653.51	812.15	988.65	1,184.66	1,254.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.84%	5.84%	5.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	478.47	483.01	487.54
Year 2 PV (M)	572.49	583.39	594.40
Year 3 PV (M)	665.90	685.01	704.49
Year 4 PV (M)	758.70	787.88	817.89
Year 5 PV (M)	850.90	892.00	934.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31,729.12	33,261.65	34,852.83
Equity Value (M)	35,055.58	36,692.94	38,391.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,113.42	1,113.42	1,113.42
Fair Value	$31.48	$32.96	$34.48
Upside / Downside	387.38%	410.14%	433.76%

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CPMC Holdings Limited (0906.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener