Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

IGG Inc (0799.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.51 - $10.64$9.06
Multi-Stage$11.29 - $12.41$11.84
Blended Fair Value$10.45
Current Price$4.40
Upside137.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.40%-0.16%0.080.000.000.690.710.320.350.560.250.25
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-2.98%122.87%-9.54%-37.59%123.82%0.10%194.97%
Dividend Yield--2.07%0.00%0.00%9.93%8.73%5.53%3.28%6.58%4.82%7.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,336.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)170.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,166.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)267.39167.12100.27
Cash Retained (M)1,166.291,166.291,166.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-267.39-167.12-100.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)898.90999.171,066.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.411,160.411,160.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.860.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.860.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.921.011.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate-2.16%-1.16%-0.16%
Fair Value$7.51$9.06$10.64
Upside / Downside70.78%105.85%141.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,336.951,321.441,306.121,290.971,275.991,261.201,299.03
Payout Ratio12.76%28.21%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)170.66372.80570.24763.04951.291,135.081,201.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate-2.16%-1.16%-0.16%
Year 1 PV (M)335.97339.40342.83
Year 2 PV (M)463.11472.63482.24
Year 3 PV (M)558.47575.77593.42
Year 4 PV (M)627.45653.50680.35
Year 5 PV (M)674.70709.89746.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,439.7010,984.2211,551.24
Equity Value (M)13,099.4013,735.4114,396.62
Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.411,160.411,160.41
Fair Value$11.29$11.84$12.41
Upside / Downside156.56%169.02%181.97%

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