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Definitive Analysis

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HanmiGlobal Co., Ltd. (053690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$385,248.84 - $453,888.41$425,359.91
Multi-Stage$271,532.81 - $298,000.80$284,519.66
Blended Fair Value$354,939.79
Current Price$19,710.00
Upside1,700.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.19%15.28%540.73680.24420.68278.97196.94198.54245.10294.49223.65168.09
YoY Growth---20.51%61.70%50.80%41.65%-0.80%-19.00%-16.77%31.67%33.06%28.83%
Dividend Yield--3.62%4.08%1.59%1.97%1.84%3.03%2.19%3.06%2.11%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,123.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,486.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,637.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,624.702,890.441,734.26
Cash Retained (M)16,637.4116,637.4116,637.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,624.70-2,890.44-1,734.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,012.7113,746.9714,903.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.1310.1310.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,185.651,356.821,470.94
LTM Dividend per Share640.17640.17640.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,185.651,356.821,470.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,825.821,996.992,111.11
WACC / Discount Rate1.56%1.56%1.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$385,248.84$425,359.91$453,888.41
Upside / Downside1,854.59%2,058.09%2,202.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,123.4924,626.5226,227.2427,932.0129,747.5931,681.1832,631.62
Payout Ratio28.05%40.44%52.83%65.22%77.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,486.089,958.9113,855.8118,217.2323,087.0928,513.0730,184.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.56%1.56%1.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,714.109,806.189,898.25
Year 2 PV (M)13,182.9713,434.0713,687.53
Year 3 PV (M)16,906.5217,391.8517,886.37
Year 4 PV (M)20,899.3021,703.0322,529.72
Year 5 PV (M)25,176.6026,392.6427,655.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,665,223.072,793,954.342,927,612.46
Equity Value (M)2,751,102.562,882,682.103,019,269.56
Shares Outstanding (M)10.1310.1310.13
Fair Value$271,532.81$284,519.66$298,000.80
Upside / Downside1,277.64%1,343.53%1,411.93%

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