Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Kingboard Holdings Limited (0148.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.30 - $36.53$31.43
Multi-Stage$35.15 - $38.38$36.73
Blended Fair Value$34.08
Current Price$25.10
Upside35.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.37%10.18%0.981.053.002.281.100.962.041.510.560.46
YoY Growth---7.09%-65.01%31.78%107.85%14.42%-52.99%34.54%172.73%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--5.22%5.80%12.08%6.00%3.35%3.88%9.75%3.56%2.36%3.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,885.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,245.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,640.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)977.07610.67366.40
Cash Retained (M)2,640.112,640.112,640.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-977.07-610.67-366.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.042,029.442,273.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.533.864.08
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Fair Value$26.30$31.43$36.53
Upside / Downside4.78%25.20%45.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,885.344,881.524,877.704,873.894,870.084,866.275,012.26
Payout Ratio45.96%54.77%63.58%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,245.232,673.453,101.003,527.893,954.104,379.644,636.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)2,359.222,383.072,406.92
Year 2 PV (M)2,414.882,463.952,513.51
Year 3 PV (M)2,424.392,498.662,574.44
Year 4 PV (M)2,397.912,496.352,597.79
Year 5 PV (M)2,343.802,464.682,590.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,012.7528,405.9929,856.14
Equity Value (M)38,952.9440,712.7142,539.31
Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
Fair Value$35.15$36.73$38.38
Upside / Downside40.02%46.35%52.92%

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