Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Green Food Co.,Ltd. (005440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81,367.70 - $219,432.92$125,048.37
Multi-Stage$54,816.43 - $59,927.37$57,325.39
Blended Fair Value$91,186.88
Current Price$8,030.00
Upside1,035.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.50%33.44%501.25121.97125.07133.80141.52167.5970.6440.4739.8333.59
YoY Growth--310.96%-2.48%-6.52%-5.45%-15.56%137.25%74.54%1.61%18.57%20.01%
Dividend Yield--9.77%2.78%2.89%1.49%1.34%2.55%0.50%0.29%0.25%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)533,853.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78,211.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)455,642.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106,770.6766,731.6740,039.00
Cash Retained (M)455,642.08455,642.08455,642.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-106,770.67-66,731.67-40,039.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)348,871.42388,910.42415,603.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
LTM Dividend per Share501.63501.63501.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,739.212,996.013,167.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$81,367.70$125,048.37$219,432.92
Upside / Downside913.30%1,457.26%2,632.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)533,853.33568,553.79605,509.79644,867.92686,784.34731,425.32753,368.08
Payout Ratio14.65%29.72%44.79%59.86%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78,211.24168,975.66271,209.01386,018.78514,607.95658,282.79696,865.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)153,495.24154,950.17156,405.10
Year 2 PV (M)223,792.55228,055.17232,358.00
Year 3 PV (M)289,348.13297,654.28306,117.88
Year 4 PV (M)350,396.29363,871.54377,731.77
Year 5 PV (M)407,161.08426,827.11447,245.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,122,483.377,466,501.987,823,686.99
Equity Value (M)8,546,676.668,937,860.259,343,545.55
Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
Fair Value$54,816.43$57,325.39$59,927.37
Upside / Downside582.65%613.89%646.29%

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