Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Green Cross Holdings Corporation (005257.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117,932.36 - $328,296.85$182,993.12
Multi-Stage$113,250.91 - $124,086.75$118,567.86
Blended Fair Value$150,780.49
Current Price$129,200.00
Upside16.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.55%2.86%1,711.372,175.082,101.511,621.891,114.401,084.571,249.991,343.211,796.151,316.75
YoY Growth---21.32%3.50%29.57%45.54%2.75%-13.23%-6.94%-25.22%36.41%1.97%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.76%1.72%0.80%0.31%0.79%0.87%0.65%1.13%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56,335.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,831.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,267.037,041.894,225.14
Cash Retained (M)37,503.7937,503.7937,503.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,267.03-7,041.89-4,225.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,236.7630,461.8933,278.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
LTM Dividend per Share1,649.961,649.961,649.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,948.754,318.954,565.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$117,932.36$182,993.12$328,296.85
Upside / Downside-8.72%41.64%154.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56,335.1458,919.6061,622.6264,449.6567,406.3770,498.7372,613.70
Payout Ratio33.43%44.74%56.06%67.37%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,831.3626,361.7534,543.4443,420.3453,039.0263,448.8667,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)24,388.8024,624.2424,859.68
Year 2 PV (M)29,566.3630,139.9730,719.08
Year 3 PV (M)34,382.8435,388.2536,413.06
Year 4 PV (M)38,856.1940,378.4841,945.06
Year 5 PV (M)43,003.6045,119.7747,318.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,122,363.211,177,593.891,234,977.77
Equity Value (M)1,292,561.001,353,244.591,416,233.10
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
Fair Value$113,250.91$118,567.86$124,086.75
Upside / Downside-12.34%-8.23%-3.96%

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