DDM Analysis: 002887.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.95 - $4.31	$3.60
Multi-Stage	$6.88 - $7.56	$7.22
Blended Fair Value	$5.41
Current Price	$9.40
Upside	-42.45%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	27.82%	61.59%	0.36	0.36	0.18	0.51	0.17	0.11	0.16	0.10	0.00	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	2.05%	101.74%	-65.37%	194.49%	62.50%	-33.33%	60.00%	3,041.59%	-96.90%	3,328.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.89%	4.89%	1.92%	5.58%	1.30%	0.98%	1.25%	0.52%	0.02%	0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	118.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	100.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18.38

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23.72	14.82	8.89
Cash Retained (M)	18.38	18.38	18.38
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23.72	-14.82	-8.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-5.34	3.56	9.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	301.02	301.02	301.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.33	0.33	0.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-3.31%	-2.31%	-1.31%
Fair Value	$2.95	$3.60	$4.31
Upside / Downside	-68.66%	-61.66%	-54.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	118.59	115.85	113.18	110.56	108.01	105.51	108.67
Payout Ratio	84.50%	85.60%	86.70%	87.80%	88.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	100.22	99.17	98.13	97.07	96.02	94.96	100.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-3.31%	-2.31%	-1.31%
Year 1 PV (M)	91.71	92.66	93.60
Year 2 PV (M)	83.91	85.65	87.41
Year 3 PV (M)	76.76	79.16	81.62
Year 4 PV (M)	70.21	73.16	76.20
Year 5 PV (M)	64.21	67.60	71.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,684.81	1,773.76	1,866.42
Equity Value (M)	2,071.59	2,171.98	2,276.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	301.02	301.02	301.02
Fair Value	$6.88	$7.22	$7.56
Upside / Downside	-26.79%	-23.24%	-19.55%

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Tianjin LVYIN Landscape and Ecology Construction Co., Ltd (002887.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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