DDM Analysis: 002352.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.69 - $48.97	$37.49
Multi-Stage	$25.07 - $27.22	$26.13
Blended Fair Value	$31.81
Current Price	$40.33
Upside	-21.13%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	44.85%	80.49%	2.31	0.73	0.18	0.30	0.24	0.36	0.31	0.17	0.37	0.45
YoY Growth	-	-	214.38%	315.44%	-41.70%	26.23%	-33.66%	17.46%	80.00%	-53.18%	-18.17%	7,003.81%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.35%	2.01%	0.32%	0.66%	0.30%	0.77%	0.83%	0.34%	0.66%	3.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,861.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8,179.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,682.03

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,172.31	1,357.70	814.62
Cash Retained (M)	2,682.03	2,682.03	2,682.03
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,172.31	-1,357.70	-814.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	509.72	1,324.33	1,867.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,946.60	4,946.60	4,946.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.27	0.38
LTM Dividend per Share	1.65	1.65	1.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.27	0.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.76	1.92	2.03
WACC / Discount Rate	11.96%	11.96%	11.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$28.69	$37.49	$48.97
Upside / Downside	-28.85%	-7.05%	21.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,861.56	11,567.56	12,319.46	13,120.22	13,973.04	14,881.28	15,327.72
Payout Ratio	75.31%	78.25%	81.18%	84.12%	87.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8,179.54	9,051.13	10,001.46	11,037.11	12,165.12	13,393.15	14,178.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.96%	11.96%	11.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,008.45	8,084.35	8,160.26
Year 2 PV (M)	7,829.88	7,979.01	8,129.56
Year 3 PV (M)	7,645.26	7,864.73	8,088.35
Year 4 PV (M)	7,455.88	7,742.62	8,037.54
Year 5 PV (M)	7,262.92	7,613.72	7,977.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	85,824.31	89,969.66	94,273.66
Equity Value (M)	124,026.69	129,254.08	134,667.32
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,946.60	4,946.60	4,946.60
Fair Value	$25.07	$26.13	$27.22
Upside / Downside	-37.83%	-35.21%	-32.50%

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S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. (002352.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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