Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hengdian Group DMEGC Magnetics Co. ,Ltd (002056.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.61 - $75.84$46.82
Multi-Stage$22.49 - $24.56$23.51
Blended Fair Value$35.16
Current Price$20.49
Upside71.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.47%23.34%0.410.390.260.240.160.150.110.060.070.09
YoY Growth--4.20%50.23%9.64%46.58%5.13%34.98%81.09%-15.17%-21.66%89.64%
Dividend Yield--2.64%2.62%1.26%1.74%1.06%1.53%1.55%0.65%0.93%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,352.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)727.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,625.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)470.58294.12176.47
Cash Retained (M)1,625.421,625.421,625.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-470.58-294.12-176.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,154.841,331.311,448.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,598.451,598.451,598.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.830.91
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.830.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.61$46.82$75.84
Upside / Downside54.28%128.49%270.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,352.922,505.862,668.752,842.213,026.963,223.713,320.42
Payout Ratio30.92%42.74%54.55%66.37%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)727.501,070.891,455.841,886.312,366.592,901.343,071.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)969.42978.60987.79
Year 2 PV (M)1,193.021,215.741,238.68
Year 3 PV (M)1,399.311,439.471,480.41
Year 4 PV (M)1,589.241,650.361,713.22
Year 5 PV (M)1,763.731,848.921,937.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,037.4530,439.9731,896.16
Equity Value (M)35,952.1537,573.0639,253.62
Shares Outstanding (M)1,598.451,598.451,598.45
Fair Value$22.49$23.51$24.56
Upside / Downside9.77%14.72%19.85%

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