Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chong Kun Dang Holdings Corp. (001630.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$566,814.73 - $1,428,161.99$1,338,201.50
Multi-Stage$366,593.40 - $402,490.86$384,203.80
Blended Fair Value$861,202.65
Current Price$46,750.00
Upside1,742.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.14%4.50%2,724.872,109.232,183.052,284.382,192.662,022.662,725.352,140.392,009.241,047.67
YoY Growth--29.19%-3.38%-4.44%4.18%8.40%-25.78%27.33%6.53%91.78%-40.29%
Dividend Yield--6.35%3.45%4.31%3.19%2.12%1.92%3.90%2.97%2.95%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,721.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,446.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,274.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,944.284,340.182,604.11
Cash Retained (M)24,274.6924,274.6924,274.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,944.28-4,340.18-2,604.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,330.4119,934.5121,670.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.764.764.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,640.084,187.044,551.69
LTM Dividend per Share2,194.232,194.232,194.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,640.084,187.044,551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,834.316,381.276,745.92
WACC / Discount Rate4.92%4.92%4.92%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Fair Value$566,814.73$1,338,201.50$1,428,161.99
Upside / Downside1,112.44%2,762.46%2,954.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,721.4236,406.7338,173.8440,026.7341,969.5544,006.6845,326.88
Payout Ratio30.09%42.07%54.05%66.03%78.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,446.7215,316.2420,633.8626,431.6132,743.5839,606.0141,927.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.92%4.92%4.92%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Year 1 PV (M)14,458.4114,597.6314,736.85
Year 2 PV (M)18,387.2718,743.0719,102.29
Year 3 PV (M)22,234.5722,883.0623,544.04
Year 4 PV (M)26,001.5727,017.5928,063.11
Year 5 PV (M)29,689.5031,146.6832,660.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,634,579.861,714,806.231,798,152.18
Equity Value (M)1,745,351.181,829,194.271,916,258.99
Shares Outstanding (M)4.764.764.76
Fair Value$366,593.40$384,203.80$402,490.86
Upside / Downside684.16%721.83%760.94%

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