DDM Analysis: 000858.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$139.08 - $297.89	$198.14
Multi-Stage	$103.52 - $112.95	$108.15
Blended Fair Value	$153.14
Current Price	$121.48
Upside	26.06%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.40%	21.17%	4.67	3.78	3.02	2.58	2.20	1.70	1.30	0.88	0.78	0.59
YoY Growth	-	-	23.48%	25.11%	17.17%	17.27%	29.41%	30.77%	47.70%	12.50%	33.33%	-14.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.56%	2.40%	1.53%	1.66%	0.82%	1.48%	1.35%	1.33%	1.82%	2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	28,433.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,999.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18,434.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,686.73	3,554.21	2,132.52
Cash Retained (M)	18,434.64	18,434.64	18,434.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,686.73	-3,554.21	-2,132.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	12,747.91	14,880.44	16,302.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,881.65	3,881.65	3,881.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.28	3.83	4.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.58	2.58	2.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.28	3.83	4.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.86	6.41	6.78
WACC / Discount Rate	9.95%	9.95%	9.95%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$139.08	$198.14	$297.89
Upside / Downside	14.49%	63.10%	145.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	28,433.67	30,281.85	32,250.18	34,346.44	36,578.96	38,956.59	40,125.28
Payout Ratio	35.17%	46.13%	57.10%	68.07%	79.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,999.02	13,969.90	18,414.75	23,378.40	28,909.53	35,060.93	37,115.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.95%	9.95%	9.95%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,586.94	12,706.24	12,825.55
Year 2 PV (M)	14,949.24	15,233.98	15,521.41
Year 3 PV (M)	17,099.95	17,590.83	18,091.02
Year 4 PV (M)	19,052.32	19,785.02	20,538.65
Year 5 PV (M)	20,818.86	21,824.42	22,868.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	317,329.70	332,656.84	348,570.59
Equity Value (M)	401,837.01	419,797.34	438,415.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,881.65	3,881.65	3,881.65
Fair Value	$103.52	$108.15	$112.95
Upside / Downside	-14.78%	-10.97%	-7.03%

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Financial Statements

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Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. (000858.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener