Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lu Thai Textile Co., Ltd. (000726.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.63 - $10.42$8.37
Multi-Stage$46.38 - $51.38$48.83
Blended Fair Value$28.60
Current Price$6.66
Upside329.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.51%-2.74%0.330.160.130.090.160.570.570.570.540.55
YoY Growth--108.99%23.08%34.93%-39.53%-72.65%0.80%-0.98%5.45%-1.99%28.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%2.50%1.57%1.48%2.37%6.63%5.23%5.49%4.23%4.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)625.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)257.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)367.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)125.0378.1446.89
Cash Retained (M)367.87367.87367.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-125.03-78.14-46.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)242.84289.73320.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)892.70892.70892.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.65
WACC / Discount Rate3.31%3.31%3.31%
Growth Rate-4.74%-3.74%-2.74%
Fair Value$6.63$8.37$10.42
Upside / Downside-0.42%25.67%56.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)625.14601.79579.31557.67536.84516.78532.29
Payout Ratio41.15%50.92%60.69%70.46%80.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)257.27306.45351.60392.94430.71465.11492.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.31%3.31%3.31%
Growth Rate-4.74%-3.74%-2.74%
Year 1 PV (M)293.55296.63299.71
Year 2 PV (M)322.61329.42336.30
Year 3 PV (M)345.36356.35367.57
Year 4 PV (M)362.61378.08394.04
Year 5 PV (M)375.08395.18416.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,706.4841,834.7144,053.23
Equity Value (M)41,405.6943,590.3745,866.98
Shares Outstanding (M)892.70892.70892.70
Fair Value$46.38$48.83$51.38
Upside / Downside596.43%633.18%671.47%

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