Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HITEJINRO Co., Ltd. (000080.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,351.72 - $33,900.03$24,745.59
Multi-Stage$26,748.10 - $29,326.58$28,012.96
Blended Fair Value$26,379.28
Current Price$19,050.00
Upside38.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.49%-1.25%949.19949.19799.44749.53699.62799.44799.44899.27999.10999.10
YoY Growth--0.00%18.73%6.66%7.13%-12.49%0.00%-11.10%-9.99%0.00%-7.22%
Dividend Yield--4.94%4.56%3.57%2.00%1.90%2.98%4.36%4.01%4.91%3.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87,043.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48,730.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,312.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,408.7110,880.456,528.27
Cash Retained (M)38,312.7238,312.7238,312.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,408.71-10,880.45-6,528.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,904.0127,432.2831,784.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.6569.6569.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share300.11393.84456.32
LTM Dividend per Share699.62699.62699.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share300.11393.84456.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend999.731,093.451,155.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Fair Value$18,351.72$24,745.59$33,900.03
Upside / Downside-3.67%29.90%77.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87,043.5789,213.9491,438.4293,718.3796,055.1798,450.24101,403.75
Payout Ratio55.98%62.79%69.59%76.39%83.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48,730.8556,015.2463,632.6071,595.0079,914.9188,605.2193,798.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.02%7.02%7.02%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Year 1 PV (M)51,829.0852,339.7452,850.41
Year 2 PV (M)54,477.1355,555.9356,645.31
Year 3 PV (M)56,713.2558,406.1860,132.47
Year 4 PV (M)58,572.9360,915.7163,328.08
Year 5 PV (M)60,089.0963,108.2566,247.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,581,423.931,660,882.061,743,502.45
Equity Value (M)1,863,105.411,951,207.882,042,706.28
Shares Outstanding (M)69.6569.6569.65
Fair Value$26,748.10$28,012.96$29,326.58
Upside / Downside40.41%47.05%53.95%

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