Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.93 - $180.13$141.97
Multi-Stage$139.89 - $153.00$146.32
Blended Fair Value$144.15
Current Price$217.93
Upside-33.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.48%11.05%5.005.004.684.233.343.332.992.652.412.24
YoY Growth---0.02%6.80%10.66%26.77%0.30%11.41%12.84%9.95%7.62%27.57%
Dividend Yield--2.52%2.65%3.37%2.71%2.48%3.83%2.91%2.35%2.63%3.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)893.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)449.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)443.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)178.66111.6667.00
Cash Retained (M)443.90443.90443.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-178.66-111.66-67.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)265.24332.24376.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.8089.8089.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.953.704.20
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.953.704.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.968.709.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate1.78%2.78%3.78%
Fair Value$110.93$141.97$180.13
Upside / Downside-49.10%-34.86%-17.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)893.30918.12943.63969.85996.801,024.491,055.23
Payout Ratio50.31%58.25%66.18%74.12%82.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)449.40534.77624.54718.88817.99922.04976.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate1.78%2.78%3.78%
Year 1 PV (M)485.49490.26495.03
Year 2 PV (M)514.73524.89535.16
Year 3 PV (M)537.88553.89570.21
Year 4 PV (M)555.62577.78600.60
Year 5 PV (M)568.58597.07626.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,899.8310,395.8310,911.50
Equity Value (M)12,562.1313,139.7213,739.19
Shares Outstanding (M)89.8089.8089.80
Fair Value$139.89$146.32$153.00
Upside / Downside-35.81%-32.86%-29.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 8 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance Corporation4.24%$0.4828.28%
NCDLNuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.4.24%$0.5730.88%
ESEversource Energy4.23%$2.8879.84%
ISBCInvestors Bancorp, Inc.4.21%$0.5844.24%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.4.21%$1.1795.05%
PWODPenns Woods Bancorp, Inc.4.17%$1.2545.44%
DDSDillard's, Inc.4.16%$26.5071.17%
RLIRLI Corp.4.16%$2.6067.96%
TFCTruist Financial Corporation4.16%$2.0753.19%
RMBIRichmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc.4.15%$0.5854.33%
PRPermian Resources Corporation4.14%$0.6052.90%
RILYTB. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 20284.13%$0.5856.91%
DGICADonegal Group Inc.4.12%$0.8028.85%
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation, Inc.4.11%$1.0876.62%
FHBFirst Hawaiian, Inc.4.11%$1.0650.97%
PORPortland General Electric Company4.09%$1.9872.28%
NEWTLNewtek Business Services Corp.4.08%$1.0244.14%
NEWTGNewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20294.06%$1.0244.14%
NEWTZNewtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 20264.05%$1.0244.14%
LKQLKQ Corporation4.04%$1.2144.76%
NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc4.04%$2.6274.07%
PXDPioneer Natural Resources Company4.00%$10.8054.25%
HAFCHanmi Financial Corporation3.99%$1.0744.22%
KSSKohl's Corporation3.99%$0.8550.52%
APAAPA Corporation3.98%$1.0124.12%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company3.98%$1.8676.25%
HFWAHeritage Financial Corporation3.97%$0.9456.54%
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.3.97%$1.3265.39%
FULTFulton Financial Corporation3.96%$0.7739.22%
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.3.96%$0.9163.16%
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.3.95%$3.3995.14%
RF-PFRegions Financial Corporation3.95%$1.0141.98%
NEWTINewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20283.94%$0.9942.24%
BOHBank of Hawaii Corporation3.93%$2.6958.42%
DCOMDime Community Bancshares, Inc.3.93%$1.1786.59%
OGEOGE Energy Corp.3.93%$1.6967.72%
ASIEXMultisector Income Fund - Investor Class3.92%$0.3596.64%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.3.90%$10.0376.31%
WABCWestamerica Bancorporation3.90%$1.8639.32%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation3.88%$1.7853.65%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.3.88%$0.5693.99%
ARTNAArtesian Resources Corporation3.87%$1.2255.68%
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp.3.87%$0.9738.17%
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation3.87%$3.4169.92%
UEUrban Edge Properties3.87%$0.7482.23%
NECBNortheast Community Bancorp, Inc.3.86%$0.8827.20%
SCSCXTouchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C3.86%$2.8037.43%
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.3.85%$0.8024.18%
BHBBar Harbor Bankshares3.85%$1.2054.11%
UGIUGI Corporation3.85%$1.4547.35%