Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.93 - $133.61$110.07
Multi-Stage$132.45 - $145.07$138.64
Blended Fair Value$124.35
Current Price$181.62
Upside-31.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.58%4.29%4.884.854.824.554.324.093.923.693.563.37
YoY Growth--0.45%0.75%5.89%5.26%5.69%4.46%6.16%3.74%5.48%5.21%
Dividend Yield--2.94%3.08%3.07%2.58%2.64%3.08%2.82%2.96%2.85%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,119.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,234.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,885.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,023.803,139.881,883.93
Cash Retained (M)12,885.0012,885.0012,885.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,023.80-3,139.88-1,883.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,861.209,745.1311,001.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,424.652,424.652,424.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.244.024.54
LTM Dividend per Share5.055.055.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.244.024.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.299.069.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.20%0.80%1.80%
Fair Value$88.93$110.07$133.61
Upside / Downside-51.04%-39.39%-26.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,119.0025,319.1725,520.9425,724.3225,929.3226,135.9526,920.03
Payout Ratio48.70%56.96%65.22%73.48%81.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,234.0014,422.6516,645.4018,902.6621,194.8423,522.3624,901.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.20%0.80%1.80%
Year 1 PV (M)13,088.7513,219.9013,351.05
Year 2 PV (M)13,708.8313,984.9414,263.80
Year 3 PV (M)14,128.0514,557.0214,994.59
Year 4 PV (M)14,376.1514,961.0815,563.69
Year 5 PV (M)14,479.2615,219.3815,989.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)251,359.48264,207.96277,576.55
Equity Value (M)321,140.51336,150.28351,739.15
Shares Outstanding (M)2,424.652,424.652,424.65
Fair Value$132.45$138.64$145.07
Upside / Downside-27.07%-23.67%-20.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 8 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance Corporation4.24%$0.4828.28%
NCDLNuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.4.24%$0.5730.88%
ESEversource Energy4.23%$2.8879.84%
ISBCInvestors Bancorp, Inc.4.21%$0.5844.24%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.4.21%$1.1795.05%
PWODPenns Woods Bancorp, Inc.4.17%$1.2545.44%
DDSDillard's, Inc.4.16%$26.5071.17%
RLIRLI Corp.4.16%$2.6067.96%
TFCTruist Financial Corporation4.16%$2.0753.19%
RMBIRichmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc.4.15%$0.5854.33%
PRPermian Resources Corporation4.14%$0.6052.90%
RILYTB. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 20284.13%$0.5856.91%
DGICADonegal Group Inc.4.12%$0.8028.85%
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation, Inc.4.11%$1.0876.62%
FHBFirst Hawaiian, Inc.4.11%$1.0650.97%
PORPortland General Electric Company4.09%$1.9872.28%
NEWTLNewtek Business Services Corp.4.08%$1.0244.14%
NEWTGNewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20294.06%$1.0244.14%
NEWTZNewtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 20264.05%$1.0244.14%
LKQLKQ Corporation4.04%$1.2144.76%
NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc4.04%$2.6274.07%
PXDPioneer Natural Resources Company4.00%$10.8054.25%
HAFCHanmi Financial Corporation3.99%$1.0744.22%
KSSKohl's Corporation3.99%$0.8550.52%
APAAPA Corporation3.98%$1.0124.12%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company3.98%$1.8676.25%
HFWAHeritage Financial Corporation3.97%$0.9456.54%
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.3.97%$1.3265.39%
FULTFulton Financial Corporation3.96%$0.7739.22%
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.3.96%$0.9163.16%
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.3.95%$3.3995.14%
RF-PFRegions Financial Corporation3.95%$1.0141.98%
NEWTINewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20283.94%$0.9942.24%
BOHBank of Hawaii Corporation3.93%$2.6958.42%
DCOMDime Community Bancshares, Inc.3.93%$1.1786.59%
OGEOGE Energy Corp.3.93%$1.6967.72%
ASIEXMultisector Income Fund - Investor Class3.92%$0.3596.64%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.3.90%$10.0376.31%
WABCWestamerica Bancorporation3.90%$1.8639.32%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation3.88%$1.7853.65%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.3.88%$0.5693.99%
ARTNAArtesian Resources Corporation3.87%$1.2255.68%
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp.3.87%$0.9738.17%
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation3.87%$3.4169.92%
UEUrban Edge Properties3.87%$0.7482.23%
NECBNortheast Community Bancorp, Inc.3.86%$0.8827.20%
SCSCXTouchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C3.86%$2.8037.43%
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.3.85%$0.8024.18%
BHBBar Harbor Bankshares3.85%$1.2054.11%
UGIUGI Corporation3.85%$1.4547.35%