Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $24,971.88 - $51,732.46 | $35,154.34 |
| Multi-Stage | $26,908.43 - $29,471.42 | $28,166.05 |
| Blended Fair Value | $31,660.19 | |
| Current Price | $108,000.00 | |
| Upside | -70.69% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 20.11% | 9.60% | 499.52 | 249.76 | 199.81 | 199.81 | 399.61 | 199.81 | 0.00 | 679.34 | 399.61 | 249.75 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 100.00% | 25.00% | 0.00% | -50.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 70.00% | 60.00% | 25.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.67% | 0.48% | 0.42% | 0.47% | 1.09% | 0.95% | 0.00% | 1.36% | 0.69% | 0.38% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 137,094.14 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 48,737.55 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 88,356.59 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 27,418.83 | 17,136.77 | 10,282.06 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 88,356.59 | 88,356.59 | 88,356.59 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -27,418.83 | -17,136.77 | -10,282.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 60,937.76 | 71,219.82 | 78,074.53 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 97.57 | 97.57 | 97.57 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 624.56 | 729.94 | 800.20 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 499.52 | 499.52 | 499.52 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 624.56 | 729.94 | 800.20 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1,124.08 | 1,229.46 | 1,299.71 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.72% | 7.72% | 7.72% |
| Growth Rate | 3.08% | 4.08% | 5.08% |
| Fair Value | $24,971.88 | $35,154.34 | $51,732.46 |
| Upside / Downside | -76.88% | -67.45% | -52.10% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 137,094.14 | 142,687.11 | 148,508.24 | 154,566.87 | 160,872.66 | 167,435.70 | 172,458.77 |
| Payout Ratio | 35.55% | 46.44% | 57.33% | 68.22% | 79.11% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 48,737.55 | 66,264.38 | 85,140.16 | 105,445.78 | 127,266.50 | 150,692.13 | 159,524.36 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.72% | 7.72% | 7.72% |
| Growth Rate | 3.08% | 4.08% | 5.08% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 60,924.55 | 61,515.59 | 62,106.64 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 71,971.21 | 73,374.41 | 74,791.15 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 81,953.17 | 84,361.53 | 86,816.61 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 90,941.65 | 94,522.32 | 98,207.70 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 99,003.72 | 103,900.10 | 108,988.31 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 2,220,640.92 | 2,330,466.03 | 2,444,594.04 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,625,435.22 | 2,748,139.97 | 2,875,504.44 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 97.57 | 97.57 | 97.57 |
| Fair Value | $26,908.43 | $28,166.05 | $29,471.42 |
| Upside / Downside | -75.08% | -73.92% | -72.71% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACIC | American Coastal Insurance Corporation | 4.24% | $0.48 | 28.28% |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. | 4.24% | $0.57 | 30.88% |
| ES | Eversource Energy | 4.23% | $2.88 | 79.84% |
| ISBC | Investors Bancorp, Inc. | 4.21% | $0.58 | 44.24% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | 4.21% | $1.17 | 95.05% |
| PWOD | Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. | 4.17% | $1.25 | 45.44% |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | 4.16% | $26.50 | 71.17% |
| RLI | RLI Corp. | 4.16% | $2.60 | 67.96% |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corporation | 4.16% | $2.07 | 53.19% |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.15% | $0.58 | 54.33% |
| PR | Permian Resources Corporation | 4.14% | $0.60 | 52.90% |
| RILYT | B. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 2028 | 4.13% | $0.58 | 56.91% |
| DGICA | Donegal Group Inc. | 4.12% | $0.80 | 28.85% |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.08 | 76.62% |
| FHB | First Hawaiian, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.06 | 50.97% |
| POR | Portland General Electric Company | 4.09% | $1.98 | 72.28% |
| NEWTL | Newtek Business Services Corp. | 4.08% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTG | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2029 | 4.06% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTZ | Newtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 2026 | 4.05% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 4.04% | $1.21 | 44.76% |
| NWE | Northwestern Energy Group Inc | 4.04% | $2.62 | 74.07% |
| PXD | Pioneer Natural Resources Company | 4.00% | $10.80 | 54.25% |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial Corporation | 3.99% | $1.07 | 44.22% |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | 3.99% | $0.85 | 50.52% |
| APA | APA Corporation | 3.98% | $1.01 | 24.12% |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Holding Company | 3.98% | $1.86 | 76.25% |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial Corporation | 3.97% | $0.94 | 56.54% |
| WSBC | WesBanco, Inc. | 3.97% | $1.32 | 65.39% |
| FULT | Fulton Financial Corporation | 3.96% | $0.77 | 39.22% |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | 3.96% | $0.91 | 63.16% |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 3.95% | $3.39 | 95.14% |
| RF-PF | Regions Financial Corporation | 3.95% | $1.01 | 41.98% |
| NEWTI | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028 | 3.94% | $0.99 | 42.24% |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii Corporation | 3.93% | $2.69 | 58.42% |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. | 3.93% | $1.17 | 86.59% |
| OGE | OGE Energy Corp. | 3.93% | $1.69 | 67.72% |
| ASIEX | Multisector Income Fund - Investor Class | 3.92% | $0.35 | 96.64% |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | 3.90% | $10.03 | 76.31% |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 3.90% | $1.86 | 39.32% |
| NJR | New Jersey Resources Corporation | 3.88% | $1.78 | 53.65% |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 3.88% | $0.56 | 93.99% |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources Corporation | 3.87% | $1.22 | 55.68% |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp. | 3.87% | $0.97 | 38.17% |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | 3.87% | $3.41 | 69.92% |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 3.87% | $0.74 | 82.23% |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. | 3.86% | $0.88 | 27.20% |
| SCSCX | Touchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C | 3.86% | $2.80 | 37.43% |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | 3.85% | $0.80 | 24.18% |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 3.85% | $1.20 | 54.11% |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | 3.85% | $1.45 | 47.35% |