Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $10,331.46 - $24,652.58 | $15,274.68 |
| Multi-Stage | $13,812.36 - $15,132.42 | $14,460.00 |
| Blended Fair Value | $14,867.34 | |
| Current Price | $7,000.00 | |
| Upside | 112.39% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -2.41% | 72.07% | 324.47 | 447.91 | 447.91 | 450.00 | 426.38 | 366.62 | 189.82 | 1.28 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -27.56% | 0.00% | -0.46% | 5.54% | 16.30% | 93.15% | 14,683.76% | -9.90% | -0.07% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.64% | 7.26% | 5.44% | 5.86% | 9.45% | 5.76% | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 246,061.95 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 208,119.55 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 37,942.40 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 49,212.39 | 30,757.74 | 18,454.65 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 37,942.40 | 37,942.40 | 37,942.40 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -49,212.39 | -30,757.74 | -18,454.65 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -11,269.99 | 7,184.65 | 19,487.75 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 493.41 | 493.41 | 493.41 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -22.84 | 14.56 | 39.50 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 421.80 | 421.80 | 421.80 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -22.84 | 14.56 | 39.50 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 398.96 | 436.36 | 461.29 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.36% | 3.36% | 4.36% |
| Fair Value | $10,331.46 | $15,274.68 | $24,652.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 47.59% | 118.21% | 252.18% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 246,061.95 | 254,336.81 | 262,889.95 | 271,730.72 | 280,868.80 | 290,314.19 | 299,023.62 |
| Payout Ratio | 84.58% | 85.66% | 86.75% | 87.83% | 88.92% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 208,119.55 | 217,875.38 | 228,052.00 | 238,666.68 | 249,737.39 | 261,282.77 | 276,596.84 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.36% | 3.36% | 4.36% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 202,949.74 | 204,932.39 | 206,915.04 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 197,876.67 | 201,761.73 | 205,684.57 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 192,900.28 | 198,609.11 | 204,429.48 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 188,020.40 | 195,475.97 | 203,151.11 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 183,236.73 | 192,363.67 | 201,850.73 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 5,850,180.02 | 6,141,574.84 | 6,444,467.09 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,815,163.84 | 7,134,717.72 | 7,466,498.01 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 493.41 | 493.41 | 493.41 |
| Fair Value | $13,812.36 | $14,460.00 | $15,132.42 |
| Upside / Downside | 97.32% | 106.57% | 116.18% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACIC | American Coastal Insurance Corporation | 4.24% | $0.48 | 28.28% |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. | 4.24% | $0.57 | 30.88% |
| ES | Eversource Energy | 4.23% | $2.88 | 79.84% |
| ISBC | Investors Bancorp, Inc. | 4.21% | $0.58 | 44.24% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | 4.21% | $1.17 | 95.05% |
| PWOD | Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. | 4.17% | $1.25 | 45.44% |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | 4.16% | $26.50 | 71.17% |
| RLI | RLI Corp. | 4.16% | $2.60 | 67.96% |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corporation | 4.16% | $2.07 | 53.19% |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.15% | $0.58 | 54.33% |
| PR | Permian Resources Corporation | 4.14% | $0.60 | 52.90% |
| RILYT | B. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 2028 | 4.13% | $0.58 | 56.91% |
| DGICA | Donegal Group Inc. | 4.12% | $0.80 | 28.85% |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.08 | 76.62% |
| FHB | First Hawaiian, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.06 | 50.97% |
| POR | Portland General Electric Company | 4.09% | $1.98 | 72.28% |
| NEWTL | Newtek Business Services Corp. | 4.08% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTG | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2029 | 4.06% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTZ | Newtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 2026 | 4.05% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 4.04% | $1.21 | 44.76% |
| NWE | Northwestern Energy Group Inc | 4.04% | $2.62 | 74.07% |
| PXD | Pioneer Natural Resources Company | 4.00% | $10.80 | 54.25% |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial Corporation | 3.99% | $1.07 | 44.22% |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | 3.99% | $0.85 | 50.52% |
| APA | APA Corporation | 3.98% | $1.01 | 24.12% |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Holding Company | 3.98% | $1.86 | 76.25% |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial Corporation | 3.97% | $0.94 | 56.54% |
| WSBC | WesBanco, Inc. | 3.97% | $1.32 | 65.39% |
| FULT | Fulton Financial Corporation | 3.96% | $0.77 | 39.22% |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | 3.96% | $0.91 | 63.16% |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 3.95% | $3.39 | 95.14% |
| RF-PF | Regions Financial Corporation | 3.95% | $1.01 | 41.98% |
| NEWTI | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028 | 3.94% | $0.99 | 42.24% |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii Corporation | 3.93% | $2.69 | 58.42% |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. | 3.93% | $1.17 | 86.59% |
| OGE | OGE Energy Corp. | 3.93% | $1.69 | 67.72% |
| ASIEX | Multisector Income Fund - Investor Class | 3.92% | $0.35 | 96.64% |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | 3.90% | $10.03 | 76.31% |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 3.90% | $1.86 | 39.32% |
| NJR | New Jersey Resources Corporation | 3.88% | $1.78 | 53.65% |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 3.88% | $0.56 | 93.99% |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources Corporation | 3.87% | $1.22 | 55.68% |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp. | 3.87% | $0.97 | 38.17% |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | 3.87% | $3.41 | 69.92% |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 3.87% | $0.74 | 82.23% |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. | 3.86% | $0.88 | 27.20% |
| SCSCX | Touchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C | 3.86% | $2.80 | 37.43% |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | 3.85% | $0.80 | 24.18% |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 3.85% | $1.20 | 54.11% |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | 3.85% | $1.45 | 47.35% |