Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (688239.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.83 - $226.58$81.75
Multi-Stage$23.71 - $25.93$24.80
Blended Fair Value$53.27
Current Price$43.99
Upside21.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.34%21.26%0.350.440.330.100.110.080.050.040.040.04
YoY Growth---20.16%35.03%212.88%-5.50%32.22%79.59%26.87%-8.38%-8.27%-14.81%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.67%0.57%0.25%0.37%0.28%0.15%0.00%0.13%0.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)187.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.4123.3814.03
Cash Retained (M)139.40139.40139.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.41-23.38-14.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.00116.02125.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.16164.16164.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.710.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.710.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$41.83$81.75$226.58
Upside / Downside-4.91%85.83%415.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)187.03199.18212.13225.92240.60256.24263.93
Payout Ratio25.46%38.37%51.28%64.19%77.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.6376.43108.78145.01185.49230.62244.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)70.2370.9071.57
Year 2 PV (M)91.8693.6195.37
Year 3 PV (M)112.53115.76119.05
Year 4 PV (M)132.27137.36142.59
Year 5 PV (M)151.13158.43166.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,333.833,494.863,662.05
Equity Value (M)3,891.854,070.914,256.63
Shares Outstanding (M)164.16164.16164.16
Fair Value$23.71$24.80$25.93
Upside / Downside-46.11%-43.63%-41.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 8 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance Corporation4.24%$0.4828.28%
NCDLNuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.4.24%$0.5730.88%
ESEversource Energy4.23%$2.8879.84%
ISBCInvestors Bancorp, Inc.4.21%$0.5844.24%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.4.21%$1.1795.05%
PWODPenns Woods Bancorp, Inc.4.17%$1.2545.44%
DDSDillard's, Inc.4.16%$26.5071.17%
RLIRLI Corp.4.16%$2.6067.96%
TFCTruist Financial Corporation4.16%$2.0753.19%
RMBIRichmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc.4.15%$0.5854.33%
PRPermian Resources Corporation4.14%$0.6052.90%
RILYTB. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 20284.13%$0.5856.91%
DGICADonegal Group Inc.4.12%$0.8028.85%
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation, Inc.4.11%$1.0876.62%
FHBFirst Hawaiian, Inc.4.11%$1.0650.97%
PORPortland General Electric Company4.09%$1.9872.28%
NEWTLNewtek Business Services Corp.4.08%$1.0244.14%
NEWTGNewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20294.06%$1.0244.14%
NEWTZNewtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 20264.05%$1.0244.14%
LKQLKQ Corporation4.04%$1.2144.76%
NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc4.04%$2.6274.07%
PXDPioneer Natural Resources Company4.00%$10.8054.25%
HAFCHanmi Financial Corporation3.99%$1.0744.22%
KSSKohl's Corporation3.99%$0.8550.52%
APAAPA Corporation3.98%$1.0124.12%
NWNNorthwest Natural Holding Company3.98%$1.8676.25%
HFWAHeritage Financial Corporation3.97%$0.9456.54%
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.3.97%$1.3265.39%
FULTFulton Financial Corporation3.96%$0.7739.22%
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.3.96%$0.9163.16%
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.3.95%$3.3995.14%
RF-PFRegions Financial Corporation3.95%$1.0141.98%
NEWTINewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 20283.94%$0.9942.24%
BOHBank of Hawaii Corporation3.93%$2.6958.42%
DCOMDime Community Bancshares, Inc.3.93%$1.1786.59%
OGEOGE Energy Corp.3.93%$1.6967.72%
ASIEXMultisector Income Fund - Investor Class3.92%$0.3596.64%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.3.90%$10.0376.31%
WABCWestamerica Bancorporation3.90%$1.8639.32%
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporation3.88%$1.7853.65%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.3.88%$0.5693.99%
ARTNAArtesian Resources Corporation3.87%$1.2255.68%
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp.3.87%$0.9738.17%
PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation3.87%$3.4169.92%
UEUrban Edge Properties3.87%$0.7482.23%
NECBNortheast Community Bancorp, Inc.3.86%$0.8827.20%
SCSCXTouchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C3.86%$2.8037.43%
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.3.85%$0.8024.18%
BHBBar Harbor Bankshares3.85%$1.2054.11%
UGIUGI Corporation3.85%$1.4547.35%