Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,737.78 - $2,921.39 | $2,256.21 |
| Multi-Stage | $1,423.98 - $1,550.92 | $1,486.32 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,871.26 | |
| Current Price | $4,205.00 | |
| Upside | -55.50% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 15.57% | 13.05% | 41.14 | 31.41 | 28.07 | 24.18 | 21.02 | 19.95 | 16.80 | 14.70 | 12.61 | 12.60 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 30.98% | 11.89% | 16.06% | 15.05% | 5.36% | 18.79% | 14.25% | 16.63% | 0.05% | 4.44% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.98% | 0.84% | 1.58% | 1.88% | 1.65% | 2.93% | 2.08% | 1.88% | 1.83% | 2.97% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 632,603.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 197,841.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 434,762.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 126,520.60 | 79,075.38 | 47,445.23 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 434,762.00 | 434,762.00 | 434,762.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -126,520.60 | -79,075.38 | -47,445.23 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 308,241.40 | 355,686.63 | 387,316.78 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 4,595.85 | 4,595.85 | 4,595.85 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 67.07 | 77.39 | 84.28 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 43.05 | 43.05 | 43.05 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 67.07 | 77.39 | 84.28 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 110.12 | 120.44 | 127.32 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.19% | 12.19% | 12.19% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,737.78 | $2,256.21 | $2,921.39 |
| Upside / Downside | -58.67% | -46.34% | -30.53% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 632,603.00 | 673,722.20 | 717,514.14 | 764,152.56 | 813,822.47 | 866,720.93 | 892,722.56 |
| Payout Ratio | 31.27% | 43.02% | 54.76% | 66.51% | 78.25% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 197,841.00 | 289,830.53 | 392,942.81 | 508,235.17 | 636,855.34 | 780,048.84 | 825,768.37 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.19% | 12.19% | 12.19% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 255,924.28 | 258,350.11 | 260,775.93 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 306,382.59 | 312,218.32 | 318,109.10 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 349,918.43 | 359,963.33 | 370,198.65 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 387,177.64 | 402,067.40 | 417,382.54 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 418,753.68 | 438,979.64 | 459,979.69 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 4,826,223.94 | 5,059,332.36 | 5,301,362.38 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,544,380.55 | 6,830,911.14 | 7,127,808.30 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 4,595.85 | 4,595.85 | 4,595.85 |
| Fair Value | $1,423.98 | $1,486.32 | $1,550.92 |
| Upside / Downside | -66.14% | -64.65% | -63.12% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACIC | American Coastal Insurance Corporation | 4.24% | $0.48 | 28.28% |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. | 4.24% | $0.57 | 30.88% |
| ES | Eversource Energy | 4.23% | $2.88 | 79.84% |
| ISBC | Investors Bancorp, Inc. | 4.21% | $0.58 | 44.24% |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | 4.21% | $1.17 | 95.05% |
| PWOD | Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. | 4.17% | $1.25 | 45.44% |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | 4.16% | $26.50 | 71.17% |
| RLI | RLI Corp. | 4.16% | $2.60 | 67.96% |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corporation | 4.16% | $2.07 | 53.19% |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.15% | $0.58 | 54.33% |
| PR | Permian Resources Corporation | 4.14% | $0.60 | 52.90% |
| RILYT | B. Riley Financial, Inc. 6.00% Senior Notes Due 2028 | 4.13% | $0.58 | 56.91% |
| DGICA | Donegal Group Inc. | 4.12% | $0.80 | 28.85% |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.08 | 76.62% |
| FHB | First Hawaiian, Inc. | 4.11% | $1.06 | 50.97% |
| POR | Portland General Electric Company | 4.09% | $1.98 | 72.28% |
| NEWTL | Newtek Business Services Corp. | 4.08% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTG | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.50% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2029 | 4.06% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| NEWTZ | Newtek Business Services Corp. 5.50% Notes Due 2026 | 4.05% | $1.02 | 44.14% |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 4.04% | $1.21 | 44.76% |
| NWE | Northwestern Energy Group Inc | 4.04% | $2.62 | 74.07% |
| PXD | Pioneer Natural Resources Company | 4.00% | $10.80 | 54.25% |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial Corporation | 3.99% | $1.07 | 44.22% |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | 3.99% | $0.85 | 50.52% |
| APA | APA Corporation | 3.98% | $1.01 | 24.12% |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Holding Company | 3.98% | $1.86 | 76.25% |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial Corporation | 3.97% | $0.94 | 56.54% |
| WSBC | WesBanco, Inc. | 3.97% | $1.32 | 65.39% |
| FULT | Fulton Financial Corporation | 3.96% | $0.77 | 39.22% |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | 3.96% | $0.91 | 63.16% |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 3.95% | $3.39 | 95.14% |
| RF-PF | Regions Financial Corporation | 3.95% | $1.01 | 41.98% |
| NEWTI | NewtekOne, Inc. 8.00% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028 | 3.94% | $0.99 | 42.24% |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii Corporation | 3.93% | $2.69 | 58.42% |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. | 3.93% | $1.17 | 86.59% |
| OGE | OGE Energy Corp. | 3.93% | $1.69 | 67.72% |
| ASIEX | Multisector Income Fund - Investor Class | 3.92% | $0.35 | 96.64% |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | 3.90% | $10.03 | 76.31% |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 3.90% | $1.86 | 39.32% |
| NJR | New Jersey Resources Corporation | 3.88% | $1.78 | 53.65% |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 3.88% | $0.56 | 93.99% |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources Corporation | 3.87% | $1.22 | 55.68% |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp. | 3.87% | $0.97 | 38.17% |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | 3.87% | $3.41 | 69.92% |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 3.87% | $0.74 | 82.23% |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. | 3.86% | $0.88 | 27.20% |
| SCSCX | Touchstone Large Cap Focused Fund Class C | 3.86% | $2.80 | 37.43% |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | 3.85% | $0.80 | 24.18% |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 3.85% | $1.20 | 54.11% |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | 3.85% | $1.45 | 47.35% |