Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.19 - $76.66$60.40
Multi-Stage$58.03 - $63.53$60.73
Blended Fair Value$60.57
Current Price$75.18
Upside-19.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$47.19$60.40$76.66
Upside / Downside-37.23%-19.66%1.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.95124.15125.36
Year 2 PV (M)144.29147.14150.02
Year 3 PV (M)162.24167.07171.99
Year 4 PV (M)177.14184.20191.47
Year 5 PV (M)189.32198.80208.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,286.603,451.223,622.37
Equity Value (M)4,082.544,272.594,469.88
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$58.03$60.73$63.53
Upside / Downside-22.82%-19.22%-15.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 8 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
035810.KQEASY HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.9.64%$435.2887.39%
0623.HKSinoMedia Holding Limited9.64%$0.1944.98%
ITSA3.SAItaúsa S.A.9.64%$1.1780.68%
MFG.AXMagellan Financial Group Limited9.64%$0.9634.94%
PMTA.BKPM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited9.64%$0.9860.98%
2989.TTokaido REIT, Inc.9.63%$11,143.4889.54%
SBMO.ASSBM Offshore N.V.9.63%$2.3853.44%
0576.HKZhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd.9.62%$0.6974.90%
INVEST.HEInvestors House Oyj9.62%$0.3663.41%
MFEC.BKMFEC Public Company Limited9.62%$0.5094.79%
PIKK.MEPJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder9.61%$45.9431.14%
6868.HKTenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited9.60%$0.2693.07%
601077.SSChongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.9.58%$0.6286.18%
SIQ.AXSmartgroup Corporation Ltd9.58%$0.8777.09%
5012.KLTa Ann Holdings Berhad9.57%$0.4093.61%
PAC.AXPacific Current Group Limited9.57%$0.9623.44%
MTO.AXMotorCycle Holdings Limited9.56%$0.3068.86%
HME.VHemisphere Energy Corporation9.55%$0.1957.92%
0382.HKEdvantage Group Holdings Limited9.54%$0.1412.43%
0OQQ.LInfotel S.A.9.54%$4.0386.81%
VIE.PAVeolia Environnement S.A.9.53%$2.8797.23%
0QJX.LEFG International AG9.52%$1.8196.44%
601998.SSChina CITIC Bank Corporation Limited9.51%$0.7368.88%
0752.HKPico Far East Holdings Limited9.50%$0.2545.55%
MRN.PAMersen S.A.9.50%$2.3045.40%
MTS.AXMetcash Limited9.50%$0.3164.02%
SYNE3.SASYN prop e tech S.A.9.50%$0.4659.20%
TEXF.BRTexaf S.A.9.50%$3.4063.35%
601997.SSBank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd.9.49%$0.5639.86%
WMA.AXWam Alternative Assets Limited9.49%$0.109.12%
0135.HKKunlun Energy Company Limited9.48%$0.7052.47%
SC-R.BKSC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited9.47%$0.1648.63%
0DLI.LAcomo N.V.9.45%$2.4067.74%
AFYAAfya Limited9.45%$1.4117.69%
BBRI.JKPT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk9.44%$343.6092.61%
TEKA.BKTeka Construction Public Company Limited9.44%$0.1696.55%
8964.TFrontier Real Estate Investment Corporation9.39%$8,736.6196.39%
ALLA.BKAlla Public Company Limited9.39%$0.1177.39%
4333.SRTaleem REIT Fund9.38%$0.9670.19%
SHL.AXSonic Healthcare Limited9.38%$2.1198.90%
TQM-R.BKTQM Alpha Public Company Limited9.37%$1.0882.74%
0882.HKTianjin Development Holdings Limited9.36%$0.2321.27%
0O84.LDNB Bank ASA9.36%$17.5255.97%
4339.SRDerayah Financial - Derayah Reit Fund9.36%$0.4982.63%
601390.SSChina Railway Group Limited9.35%$0.5150.32%
CPACopa Holdings, S.A.9.35%$11.3970.44%
BRSR3.SABanco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A.9.34%$1.5649.87%
RET.BRRetail Estates N.V.9.34%$5.9746.68%
0265.HKGangyu Smart Urban Services Holdings Limited9.33%$0.1868.15%
KGKC.MEPJSC Kurgan Generation Company9.33%$4.0370.77%