Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,745.89 - $4,588.68 | $3,556.66 |
| Multi-Stage | $5,540.07 - $6,091.91 | $5,810.64 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,683.65 | |
| Current Price | $4,700.00 | |
| Upside | -0.35% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -23.96% | -4.18% | 30.00 | 100.00 | 108.00 | 112.00 | 81.00 | 118.00 | 56.00 | 56.00 | 29.00 | 18.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -70.00% | -7.41% | -3.57% | 38.27% | -31.36% | 110.71% | 0.00% | 93.10% | 61.11% | -60.87% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.68% | 1.92% | 2.16% | 1.98% | 1.16% | 2.39% | 0.88% | 1.62% | 0.91% | 0.50% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,845,236.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,770,984.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,074,252.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 769,047.20 | 480,654.50 | 288,392.70 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,074,252.00 | 2,074,252.00 | 2,074,252.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -769,047.20 | -480,654.50 | -288,392.70 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,305,204.80 | 1,593,597.50 | 1,785,859.30 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 79.60 | 97.18 | 108.91 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 108.00 | 108.00 | 108.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 79.60 | 97.18 | 108.91 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 187.60 | 205.18 | 216.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.49% | 0.51% | 1.51% |
| Fair Value | $2,745.89 | $3,556.66 | $4,588.68 |
| Upside / Downside | -41.58% | -24.33% | -2.37% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,845,236.00 | 3,864,871.36 | 3,884,606.99 | 3,904,443.40 | 3,924,381.09 | 3,944,420.60 | 4,062,753.22 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.06% | 54.85% | 63.63% | 72.42% | 81.21% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,770,984.00 | 2,119,698.75 | 2,471,928.67 | 2,827,700.59 | 3,187,041.49 | 3,549,978.54 | 3,758,046.73 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.49% | 0.51% | 1.51% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,974,064.58 | 1,993,902.30 | 2,013,740.02 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,143,928.81 | 2,187,234.75 | 2,230,973.71 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,283,994.54 | 2,353,545.60 | 2,424,494.48 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,397,378.29 | 2,495,207.36 | 2,596,000.39 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,486,919.86 | 2,614,414.15 | 2,747,084.53 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 79,559,840.31 | 83,638,550.43 | 87,882,850.46 |
| Equity Value (M) | 90,846,126.38 | 95,282,854.59 | 99,895,143.59 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 |
| Fair Value | $5,540.07 | $5,810.64 | $6,091.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 17.87% | 23.63% | 29.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 035810.KQ | EASY HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. | 9.64% | $435.28 | 87.39% |
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| ITSA3.SA | Itaúsa S.A. | 9.64% | $1.17 | 80.68% |
| MFG.AX | Magellan Financial Group Limited | 9.64% | $0.96 | 34.94% |
| PMTA.BK | PM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited | 9.64% | $0.98 | 60.98% |
| 2989.T | Tokaido REIT, Inc. | 9.63% | $11,143.48 | 89.54% |
| SBMO.AS | SBM Offshore N.V. | 9.63% | $2.38 | 53.44% |
| 0576.HK | Zhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd. | 9.62% | $0.69 | 74.90% |
| INVEST.HE | Investors House Oyj | 9.62% | $0.36 | 63.41% |
| MFEC.BK | MFEC Public Company Limited | 9.62% | $0.50 | 94.79% |
| PIKK.ME | PJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder | 9.61% | $45.94 | 31.14% |
| 6868.HK | Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited | 9.60% | $0.26 | 93.07% |
| 601077.SS | Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. | 9.58% | $0.62 | 86.18% |
| SIQ.AX | Smartgroup Corporation Ltd | 9.58% | $0.87 | 77.09% |
| 5012.KL | Ta Ann Holdings Berhad | 9.57% | $0.40 | 93.61% |
| PAC.AX | Pacific Current Group Limited | 9.57% | $0.96 | 23.44% |
| MTO.AX | MotorCycle Holdings Limited | 9.56% | $0.30 | 68.86% |
| HME.V | Hemisphere Energy Corporation | 9.55% | $0.19 | 57.92% |
| 0382.HK | Edvantage Group Holdings Limited | 9.54% | $0.14 | 12.43% |
| 0OQQ.L | Infotel S.A. | 9.54% | $4.03 | 86.81% |
| VIE.PA | Veolia Environnement S.A. | 9.53% | $2.87 | 97.23% |
| 0QJX.L | EFG International AG | 9.52% | $1.81 | 96.44% |
| 601998.SS | China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited | 9.51% | $0.73 | 68.88% |
| 0752.HK | Pico Far East Holdings Limited | 9.50% | $0.25 | 45.55% |
| MRN.PA | Mersen S.A. | 9.50% | $2.30 | 45.40% |
| MTS.AX | Metcash Limited | 9.50% | $0.31 | 64.02% |
| SYNE3.SA | SYN prop e tech S.A. | 9.50% | $0.46 | 59.20% |
| TEXF.BR | Texaf S.A. | 9.50% | $3.40 | 63.35% |
| 601997.SS | Bank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd. | 9.49% | $0.56 | 39.86% |
| WMA.AX | Wam Alternative Assets Limited | 9.49% | $0.10 | 9.12% |
| 0135.HK | Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 9.48% | $0.70 | 52.47% |
| SC-R.BK | SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited | 9.47% | $0.16 | 48.63% |
| 0DLI.L | Acomo N.V. | 9.45% | $2.40 | 67.74% |
| AFYA | Afya Limited | 9.45% | $1.41 | 17.69% |
| BBRI.JK | PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk | 9.44% | $343.60 | 92.61% |
| TEKA.BK | Teka Construction Public Company Limited | 9.44% | $0.16 | 96.55% |
| 8964.T | Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation | 9.39% | $8,736.61 | 96.39% |
| ALLA.BK | Alla Public Company Limited | 9.39% | $0.11 | 77.39% |
| 4333.SR | Taleem REIT Fund | 9.38% | $0.96 | 70.19% |
| SHL.AX | Sonic Healthcare Limited | 9.38% | $2.11 | 98.90% |
| TQM-R.BK | TQM Alpha Public Company Limited | 9.37% | $1.08 | 82.74% |
| 0882.HK | Tianjin Development Holdings Limited | 9.36% | $0.23 | 21.27% |
| 0O84.L | DNB Bank ASA | 9.36% | $17.52 | 55.97% |
| 4339.SR | Derayah Financial - Derayah Reit Fund | 9.36% | $0.49 | 82.63% |
| 601390.SS | China Railway Group Limited | 9.35% | $0.51 | 50.32% |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | 9.35% | $11.39 | 70.44% |
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| RET.BR | Retail Estates N.V. | 9.34% | $5.97 | 46.68% |
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| KGKC.ME | PJSC Kurgan Generation Company | 9.33% | $4.03 | 70.77% |