Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (0QYY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.98 - $30.28$26.17
Multi-Stage$39.67 - $43.71$41.65
Blended Fair Value$33.91
Current Price$27.90
Upside21.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.40%-9.16%0.740.780.750.750.551.911.982.032.032.01
YoY Growth---5.28%3.36%0.82%35.75%-71.30%-3.49%-2.40%-0.18%1.23%4.60%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.78%1.98%1.91%1.50%10.67%5.36%4.83%3.38%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)501.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)413.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.2362.6437.59
Cash Retained (M)413.09413.09413.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.23-62.64-37.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)312.86350.45375.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.233.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Fair Value$21.98$26.17$30.28
Upside / Downside-21.21%-6.21%8.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)501.15481.58462.79444.72427.36410.68423.00
Payout Ratio17.57%32.06%46.54%61.03%75.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.06154.38215.39271.41322.72369.61391.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)140.06141.53143.00
Year 2 PV (M)177.28181.03184.81
Year 3 PV (M)202.65209.11215.71
Year 4 PV (M)218.61227.95237.59
Year 5 PV (M)227.15239.34252.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,954.914,167.274,388.66
Equity Value (M)4,920.665,166.245,421.83
Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
Fair Value$39.67$41.65$43.71
Upside / Downside42.20%49.29%56.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 8 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
035810.KQEASY HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.9.64%$435.2887.39%
0623.HKSinoMedia Holding Limited9.64%$0.1944.98%
ITSA3.SAItaúsa S.A.9.64%$1.1780.68%
MFG.AXMagellan Financial Group Limited9.64%$0.9634.94%
PMTA.BKPM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited9.64%$0.9860.98%
2989.TTokaido REIT, Inc.9.63%$11,143.4889.54%
SBMO.ASSBM Offshore N.V.9.63%$2.3853.44%
0576.HKZhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd.9.62%$0.6974.90%
INVEST.HEInvestors House Oyj9.62%$0.3663.41%
MFEC.BKMFEC Public Company Limited9.62%$0.5094.79%
PIKK.MEPJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder9.61%$45.9431.14%
6868.HKTenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited9.60%$0.2693.07%
601077.SSChongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.9.58%$0.6286.18%
SIQ.AXSmartgroup Corporation Ltd9.58%$0.8777.09%
5012.KLTa Ann Holdings Berhad9.57%$0.4093.61%
PAC.AXPacific Current Group Limited9.57%$0.9623.44%
MTO.AXMotorCycle Holdings Limited9.56%$0.3068.86%
HME.VHemisphere Energy Corporation9.55%$0.1957.92%
0382.HKEdvantage Group Holdings Limited9.54%$0.1412.43%
0OQQ.LInfotel S.A.9.54%$4.0386.81%
VIE.PAVeolia Environnement S.A.9.53%$2.8797.23%
0QJX.LEFG International AG9.52%$1.8196.44%
601998.SSChina CITIC Bank Corporation Limited9.51%$0.7368.88%
0752.HKPico Far East Holdings Limited9.50%$0.2545.55%
MRN.PAMersen S.A.9.50%$2.3045.40%
MTS.AXMetcash Limited9.50%$0.3164.02%
SYNE3.SASYN prop e tech S.A.9.50%$0.4659.20%
TEXF.BRTexaf S.A.9.50%$3.4063.35%
601997.SSBank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd.9.49%$0.5639.86%
WMA.AXWam Alternative Assets Limited9.49%$0.109.12%
0135.HKKunlun Energy Company Limited9.48%$0.7052.47%
SC-R.BKSC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited9.47%$0.1648.63%
0DLI.LAcomo N.V.9.45%$2.4067.74%
AFYAAfya Limited9.45%$1.4117.69%
BBRI.JKPT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk9.44%$343.6092.61%
TEKA.BKTeka Construction Public Company Limited9.44%$0.1696.55%
8964.TFrontier Real Estate Investment Corporation9.39%$8,736.6196.39%
ALLA.BKAlla Public Company Limited9.39%$0.1177.39%
4333.SRTaleem REIT Fund9.38%$0.9670.19%
SHL.AXSonic Healthcare Limited9.38%$2.1198.90%
TQM-R.BKTQM Alpha Public Company Limited9.37%$1.0882.74%
0882.HKTianjin Development Holdings Limited9.36%$0.2321.27%
0O84.LDNB Bank ASA9.36%$17.5255.97%
4339.SRDerayah Financial - Derayah Reit Fund9.36%$0.4982.63%
601390.SSChina Railway Group Limited9.35%$0.5150.32%
CPACopa Holdings, S.A.9.35%$11.3970.44%
BRSR3.SABanco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A.9.34%$1.5649.87%
RET.BRRetail Estates N.V.9.34%$5.9746.68%
0265.HKGangyu Smart Urban Services Holdings Limited9.33%$0.1868.15%
KGKC.MEPJSC Kurgan Generation Company9.33%$4.0370.77%