Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $209,762.53 - $323,179.12 | $262,509.96 |
| Multi-Stage | $460,670.37 - $507,511.58 | $483,628.97 |
| Blended Fair Value | $373,069.47 | |
| Current Price | $366,000.00 | |
| Upside | 1.93% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | -37.66% | 14.09 | 42.31 | 38.31 | 51.14 | 125.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -66.69% | 10.44% | -25.08% | -59.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,684,653.36 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 433,974.82 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,250,678.55 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 336,930.67 | 210,581.67 | 126,349.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,250,678.55 | 1,250,678.55 | 1,250,678.55 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -336,930.67 | -210,581.67 | -126,349.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 913,747.87 | 1,040,096.87 | 1,124,329.54 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 73.73 | 73.73 | 73.73 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 12,392.36 | 14,105.93 | 15,248.30 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 5,885.62 | 5,885.62 | 5,885.62 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 12,392.36 | 14,105.93 | 15,248.30 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 18,277.99 | 19,991.55 | 21,133.92 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.54% | 6.54% | 6.54% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $209,762.53 | $262,509.96 | $323,179.12 |
| Upside / Downside | -42.69% | -28.28% | -11.70% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,684,653.36 | 1,667,806.83 | 1,651,128.76 | 1,634,617.47 | 1,618,271.30 | 1,602,088.58 | 1,650,151.24 |
| Payout Ratio | 25.76% | 38.61% | 51.46% | 64.30% | 77.15% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 433,974.82 | 643,913.28 | 849,609.58 | 1,051,127.57 | 1,248,530.23 | 1,441,879.73 | 1,526,389.90 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.54% | 6.54% | 6.54% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 598,284.96 | 604,389.91 | 610,494.86 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 733,467.39 | 748,512.48 | 763,710.32 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 843,135.81 | 869,210.36 | 895,817.02 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 930,511.78 | 969,077.15 | 1,008,829.04 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 998,464.33 | 1,050,456.68 | 1,104,592.72 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 29,863,550.53 | 31,418,614.89 | 33,037,795.60 |
| Equity Value (M) | 33,967,414.80 | 35,660,261.47 | 37,421,239.56 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 73.73 | 73.73 | 73.73 |
| Fair Value | $460,670.37 | $483,628.97 | $507,511.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 25.87% | 32.14% | 38.66% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 035810.KQ | EASY HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. | 9.64% | $435.28 | 87.39% |
| 0623.HK | SinoMedia Holding Limited | 9.64% | $0.19 | 44.98% |
| ITSA3.SA | Itaúsa S.A. | 9.64% | $1.17 | 80.68% |
| MFG.AX | Magellan Financial Group Limited | 9.64% | $0.96 | 34.94% |
| PMTA.BK | PM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited | 9.64% | $0.98 | 60.98% |
| 2989.T | Tokaido REIT, Inc. | 9.63% | $11,143.48 | 89.54% |
| SBMO.AS | SBM Offshore N.V. | 9.63% | $2.38 | 53.44% |
| 0576.HK | Zhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd. | 9.62% | $0.69 | 74.90% |
| INVEST.HE | Investors House Oyj | 9.62% | $0.36 | 63.41% |
| MFEC.BK | MFEC Public Company Limited | 9.62% | $0.50 | 94.79% |
| PIKK.ME | PJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder | 9.61% | $45.94 | 31.14% |
| 6868.HK | Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited | 9.60% | $0.26 | 93.07% |
| 601077.SS | Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. | 9.58% | $0.62 | 86.18% |
| SIQ.AX | Smartgroup Corporation Ltd | 9.58% | $0.87 | 77.09% |
| 5012.KL | Ta Ann Holdings Berhad | 9.57% | $0.40 | 93.61% |
| PAC.AX | Pacific Current Group Limited | 9.57% | $0.96 | 23.44% |
| MTO.AX | MotorCycle Holdings Limited | 9.56% | $0.30 | 68.86% |
| HME.V | Hemisphere Energy Corporation | 9.55% | $0.19 | 57.92% |
| 0382.HK | Edvantage Group Holdings Limited | 9.54% | $0.14 | 12.43% |
| 0OQQ.L | Infotel S.A. | 9.54% | $4.03 | 86.81% |
| VIE.PA | Veolia Environnement S.A. | 9.53% | $2.87 | 97.23% |
| 0QJX.L | EFG International AG | 9.52% | $1.81 | 96.44% |
| 601998.SS | China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited | 9.51% | $0.73 | 68.88% |
| 0752.HK | Pico Far East Holdings Limited | 9.50% | $0.25 | 45.55% |
| MRN.PA | Mersen S.A. | 9.50% | $2.30 | 45.40% |
| MTS.AX | Metcash Limited | 9.50% | $0.31 | 64.02% |
| SYNE3.SA | SYN prop e tech S.A. | 9.50% | $0.46 | 59.20% |
| TEXF.BR | Texaf S.A. | 9.50% | $3.40 | 63.35% |
| 601997.SS | Bank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd. | 9.49% | $0.56 | 39.86% |
| WMA.AX | Wam Alternative Assets Limited | 9.49% | $0.10 | 9.12% |
| 0135.HK | Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 9.48% | $0.70 | 52.47% |
| SC-R.BK | SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited | 9.47% | $0.16 | 48.63% |
| 0DLI.L | Acomo N.V. | 9.45% | $2.40 | 67.74% |
| AFYA | Afya Limited | 9.45% | $1.41 | 17.69% |
| BBRI.JK | PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk | 9.44% | $343.60 | 92.61% |
| TEKA.BK | Teka Construction Public Company Limited | 9.44% | $0.16 | 96.55% |
| 8964.T | Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation | 9.39% | $8,736.61 | 96.39% |
| ALLA.BK | Alla Public Company Limited | 9.39% | $0.11 | 77.39% |
| 4333.SR | Taleem REIT Fund | 9.38% | $0.96 | 70.19% |
| SHL.AX | Sonic Healthcare Limited | 9.38% | $2.11 | 98.90% |
| TQM-R.BK | TQM Alpha Public Company Limited | 9.37% | $1.08 | 82.74% |
| 0882.HK | Tianjin Development Holdings Limited | 9.36% | $0.23 | 21.27% |
| 0O84.L | DNB Bank ASA | 9.36% | $17.52 | 55.97% |
| 4339.SR | Derayah Financial - Derayah Reit Fund | 9.36% | $0.49 | 82.63% |
| 601390.SS | China Railway Group Limited | 9.35% | $0.51 | 50.32% |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | 9.35% | $11.39 | 70.44% |
| BRSR3.SA | Banco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A. | 9.34% | $1.56 | 49.87% |
| RET.BR | Retail Estates N.V. | 9.34% | $5.97 | 46.68% |
| 0265.HK | Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holdings Limited | 9.33% | $0.18 | 68.15% |
| KGKC.ME | PJSC Kurgan Generation Company | 9.33% | $4.03 | 70.77% |