Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $83,455.04 - $112,780.62 | $98,466.07 |
| Multi-Stage | $266,124.48 - $295,422.01 | $280,460.88 |
| Blended Fair Value | $189,463.47 | |
| Current Price | $84,900.00 | |
| Upside | 123.16% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -11.62% | 5.29% | 4,207.41 | 7,087.17 | 10,428.50 | 7,825.69 | 5,764.83 | 7,803.46 | 10,435.94 | 9,426.14 | 6,598.30 | 4,974.19 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -40.63% | -32.04% | 33.26% | 35.75% | -26.12% | -25.23% | 10.71% | 42.86% | 32.65% | 97.97% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.77% | 11.85% | 15.43% | 9.11% | 6.48% | 12.77% | 13.82% | 7.69% | 4.87% | 3.45% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 324,576.91 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 66,652.81 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 257,924.09 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 64,915.38 | 40,572.11 | 24,343.27 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 257,924.09 | 257,924.09 | 257,924.09 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -64,915.38 | -40,572.11 | -24,343.27 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 193,008.71 | 217,351.98 | 233,580.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 17.65 | 17.65 | 17.65 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 10,937.20 | 12,316.65 | 13,236.29 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,777.01 | 3,777.01 | 3,777.01 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 10,937.20 | 12,316.65 | 13,236.29 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 14,714.20 | 16,093.66 | 17,013.30 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | -9.59% | -8.59% | -7.59% |
| Fair Value | $83,455.04 | $98,466.07 | $112,780.62 |
| Upside / Downside | -1.70% | 15.98% | 32.84% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 324,576.91 | 296,679.74 | 271,180.32 | 247,872.55 | 226,568.07 | 207,094.70 | 213,307.54 |
| Payout Ratio | 20.54% | 34.43% | 48.32% | 62.21% | 76.11% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 66,652.81 | 102,141.59 | 131,037.51 | 154,211.72 | 172,434.30 | 186,385.23 | 197,309.48 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | -9.59% | -8.59% | -7.59% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 94,996.91 | 96,047.70 | 97,098.49 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 113,346.82 | 115,868.22 | 118,417.36 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 124,061.76 | 128,224.33 | 132,478.98 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 129,018.22 | 134,822.09 | 140,819.60 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 129,701.73 | 137,035.55 | 144,697.43 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 4,105,173.19 | 4,337,295.17 | 4,579,800.42 |
| Equity Value (M) | 4,696,298.63 | 4,949,293.07 | 5,213,312.30 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 17.65 | 17.65 | 17.65 |
| Fair Value | $266,124.48 | $280,460.88 | $295,422.01 |
| Upside / Downside | 213.46% | 230.34% | 247.96% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 035810.KQ | EASY HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. | 9.64% | $435.28 | 87.39% |
| 0623.HK | SinoMedia Holding Limited | 9.64% | $0.19 | 44.98% |
| ITSA3.SA | Itaúsa S.A. | 9.64% | $1.17 | 80.68% |
| MFG.AX | Magellan Financial Group Limited | 9.64% | $0.96 | 34.94% |
| PMTA.BK | PM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited | 9.64% | $0.98 | 60.98% |
| 2989.T | Tokaido REIT, Inc. | 9.63% | $11,143.48 | 89.54% |
| SBMO.AS | SBM Offshore N.V. | 9.63% | $2.38 | 53.44% |
| 0576.HK | Zhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd. | 9.62% | $0.69 | 74.90% |
| INVEST.HE | Investors House Oyj | 9.62% | $0.36 | 63.41% |
| MFEC.BK | MFEC Public Company Limited | 9.62% | $0.50 | 94.79% |
| PIKK.ME | PJSC PIK-specialized homebuilder | 9.61% | $45.94 | 31.14% |
| 6868.HK | Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited | 9.60% | $0.26 | 93.07% |
| 601077.SS | Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. | 9.58% | $0.62 | 86.18% |
| SIQ.AX | Smartgroup Corporation Ltd | 9.58% | $0.87 | 77.09% |
| 5012.KL | Ta Ann Holdings Berhad | 9.57% | $0.40 | 93.61% |
| PAC.AX | Pacific Current Group Limited | 9.57% | $0.96 | 23.44% |
| MTO.AX | MotorCycle Holdings Limited | 9.56% | $0.30 | 68.86% |
| HME.V | Hemisphere Energy Corporation | 9.55% | $0.19 | 57.92% |
| 0382.HK | Edvantage Group Holdings Limited | 9.54% | $0.14 | 12.43% |
| 0OQQ.L | Infotel S.A. | 9.54% | $4.03 | 86.81% |
| VIE.PA | Veolia Environnement S.A. | 9.53% | $2.87 | 97.23% |
| 0QJX.L | EFG International AG | 9.52% | $1.81 | 96.44% |
| 601998.SS | China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited | 9.51% | $0.73 | 68.88% |
| 0752.HK | Pico Far East Holdings Limited | 9.50% | $0.25 | 45.55% |
| MRN.PA | Mersen S.A. | 9.50% | $2.30 | 45.40% |
| MTS.AX | Metcash Limited | 9.50% | $0.31 | 64.02% |
| SYNE3.SA | SYN prop e tech S.A. | 9.50% | $0.46 | 59.20% |
| TEXF.BR | Texaf S.A. | 9.50% | $3.40 | 63.35% |
| 601997.SS | Bank of Guiyang Co.,Ltd. | 9.49% | $0.56 | 39.86% |
| WMA.AX | Wam Alternative Assets Limited | 9.49% | $0.10 | 9.12% |
| 0135.HK | Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 9.48% | $0.70 | 52.47% |
| SC-R.BK | SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited | 9.47% | $0.16 | 48.63% |
| 0DLI.L | Acomo N.V. | 9.45% | $2.40 | 67.74% |
| AFYA | Afya Limited | 9.45% | $1.41 | 17.69% |
| BBRI.JK | PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk | 9.44% | $343.60 | 92.61% |
| TEKA.BK | Teka Construction Public Company Limited | 9.44% | $0.16 | 96.55% |
| 8964.T | Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation | 9.39% | $8,736.61 | 96.39% |
| ALLA.BK | Alla Public Company Limited | 9.39% | $0.11 | 77.39% |
| 4333.SR | Taleem REIT Fund | 9.38% | $0.96 | 70.19% |
| SHL.AX | Sonic Healthcare Limited | 9.38% | $2.11 | 98.90% |
| TQM-R.BK | TQM Alpha Public Company Limited | 9.37% | $1.08 | 82.74% |
| 0882.HK | Tianjin Development Holdings Limited | 9.36% | $0.23 | 21.27% |
| 0O84.L | DNB Bank ASA | 9.36% | $17.52 | 55.97% |
| 4339.SR | Derayah Financial - Derayah Reit Fund | 9.36% | $0.49 | 82.63% |
| 601390.SS | China Railway Group Limited | 9.35% | $0.51 | 50.32% |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | 9.35% | $11.39 | 70.44% |
| BRSR3.SA | Banco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A. | 9.34% | $1.56 | 49.87% |
| RET.BR | Retail Estates N.V. | 9.34% | $5.97 | 46.68% |
| 0265.HK | Gangyu Smart Urban Services Holdings Limited | 9.33% | $0.18 | 68.15% |
| KGKC.ME | PJSC Kurgan Generation Company | 9.33% | $4.03 | 70.77% |