Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Encore Wire Corporation (WIRE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$326.16 - $648.63$452.29
Multi-Stage$237.88 - $260.06$248.77
Blended Fair Value$350.53
Current Price$267.40
Upside31.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-3.78%-1.82%0.080.090.100.100.100.100.100.100.100.10
YoY Growth---11.11%-5.21%-1.03%-1.37%0.30%0.42%0.30%-0.06%0.00%0.18%
Dividend Yield--0.03%0.05%0.09%0.15%0.24%0.17%0.18%0.22%0.26%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)316.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)314.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)63.2439.5223.71
Cash Retained (M)314.87314.87314.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-63.24-39.52-23.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)251.63275.34291.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.6716.6716.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.0916.5117.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.0916.5117.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.1716.5917.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$326.16$452.29$648.63
Upside / Downside21.97%69.14%142.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)316.19336.75358.63381.95406.77433.21446.21
Payout Ratio0.42%18.33%36.25%54.17%72.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.3261.74130.01206.89293.22389.89412.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.4055.9256.45
Year 2 PV (M)104.66106.65108.67
Year 3 PV (M)149.44153.73158.10
Year 4 PV (M)190.02197.33204.85
Year 5 PV (M)226.71237.66249.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,240.083,396.573,559.06
Equity Value (M)3,966.314,147.874,336.15
Shares Outstanding (M)16.6716.6716.67
Fair Value$237.88$248.77$260.06
Upside / Downside-11.04%-6.97%-2.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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