Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $4,745.57 - $7,022.94 | $5,835.00 |
| Multi-Stage | $10,160.70 - $11,182.89 | $10,661.72 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8,248.36 | |
| Current Price | $6,525.00 | |
| Upside | 26.41% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -31.36% | -21.13% | 92.15 | 163.96 | 519.80 | 552.47 | 794.40 | 604.71 | 769.64 | 1,021.42 | 456.30 | 1,484.30 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -43.80% | -68.46% | -5.91% | -30.45% | 31.37% | -21.43% | -24.65% | 123.85% | -69.26% | 50.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.77% | 1.84% | 4.94% | 5.13% | 6.50% | 4.84% | 3.47% | 6.38% | 2.75% | 7.52% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,015,120.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 867,318.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,147,802.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 403,024.00 | 251,890.00 | 151,134.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,147,802.00 | 1,147,802.00 | 1,147,802.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -403,024.00 | -251,890.00 | -151,134.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 744,778.00 | 895,912.00 | 996,668.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 222.52 | 267.67 | 297.77 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 259.13 | 259.13 | 259.13 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 222.52 | 267.67 | 297.77 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 481.65 | 526.80 | 556.90 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.12% | 7.12% | 7.12% |
| Growth Rate | -2.75% | -1.75% | -0.75% |
| Fair Value | $4,745.57 | $5,835.00 | $7,022.94 |
| Upside / Downside | -27.27% | -10.57% | 7.63% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,015,120.00 | 1,979,883.15 | 1,945,262.46 | 1,911,247.15 | 1,877,826.65 | 1,844,990.54 | 1,900,340.26 |
| Payout Ratio | 43.04% | 52.43% | 61.82% | 71.22% | 80.61% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 867,318.00 | 1,038,100.47 | 1,202,645.06 | 1,361,117.70 | 1,513,680.43 | 1,660,491.49 | 1,757,814.74 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.12% | 7.12% | 7.12% |
| Growth Rate | -2.75% | -1.75% | -0.75% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 959,221.08 | 969,084.39 | 978,947.71 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,026,824.26 | 1,048,049.74 | 1,069,492.35 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,073,825.36 | 1,107,292.39 | 1,141,447.66 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,103,447.05 | 1,149,537.24 | 1,197,056.43 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,118,493.02 | 1,177,193.11 | 1,238,332.26 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 28,726,632.24 | 30,234,246.31 | 31,804,503.64 |
| Equity Value (M) | 34,008,443.01 | 35,685,403.18 | 37,429,780.05 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 |
| Fair Value | $10,160.70 | $10,661.72 | $11,182.89 |
| Upside / Downside | 55.72% | 63.40% | 71.39% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600082.SS | Tianjin Hi-Tech Development Co.,Ltd. | 1.68% | $0.07 | 72.77% |
| 603815.SS | Anhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co.,Ltd. | 1.68% | $0.12 | 45.85% |
| 7280.T | Mitsuba Corporation | 1.68% | $17.57 | 8.76% |
| 8985.T | Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation | 1.68% | $1,370.97 | 17.79% |
| 002836.SZ | Guangdong New Grand Long Packing Co., Ltd. | 1.67% | $0.25 | 97.86% |
| 2419.HK | Dekon Food & Agriculture Group | 1.67% | $1.16 | 7.76% |
| 5357.T | Yotai Refractories Co., Ltd. | 1.67% | $30.31 | 25.15% |
| 600312.SS | Henan Pinggao Electric Co.,Ltd. | 1.67% | $0.29 | 34.28% |
| 600933.SS | IKD Co., Ltd. | 1.67% | $0.34 | 31.46% |
| 603259.SS | WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. | 1.67% | $1.52 | 31.50% |
| 688580.SS | Nanjing Vishee Medical Technology Co., Ltd | 1.67% | $0.81 | 61.33% |
| 8359.T | The Hachijuni Bank, Ltd. | 1.67% | $28.27 | 22.23% |
| 9597.SR | Leaf Global Environmental Services Co. | 1.67% | $0.56 | 25.93% |
| BBMD.JK | PT Bank Mestika Dharma Tbk | 1.67% | $34.25 | 40.25% |
| ELN.MI | EL.En. S.p.A. | 1.67% | $0.23 | 25.56% |
| HARB-B.CO | Harboes Bryggeri A/S | 1.67% | $2.00 | 18.85% |
| HARVIA.HE | Harvia Oyj | 1.67% | $0.72 | 56.92% |
| NORBT.OL | Norbit ASA | 1.67% | $2.99 | 50.40% |
| 002240.KS | Kiswire Ltd. | 1.66% | $350.65 | 18.13% |
| 011780.KS | Kumho Petrochemical Co., Ltd. | 1.66% | $1,950.82 | 19.35% |
| 0QI7.L | Addtech AB (publ.) | 1.66% | $3.20 | 43.14% |
| 1346.HK | Lever Style Corporation | 1.66% | $0.02 | 47.86% |
| 1789.HK | AK Medical Holdings Limited | 1.66% | $0.10 | 22.23% |
| 273640.KQ | YM Tech Co., Ltd. | 1.66% | $139.56 | 29.02% |
| 300039.SZ | Shanghai Kaibao Pharmaceutical CO.,Ltd | 1.66% | $0.10 | 30.28% |
| 603231.SS | Solbar Ningbo Protein Technology Co., Ltd. | 1.66% | $0.30 | 32.96% |
| 688575.SS | Shenzhen YHLO Biotech Co., Ltd. | 1.66% | $0.24 | 93.71% |
| AKBNK.IS | Akbank T.A.S. | 1.66% | $1.22 | 13.20% |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | 1.66% | $1.77 | 45.37% |
| 002124.SZ | Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd. | 1.65% | $0.05 | 26.60% |
| 002978.SZ | Sichuan Anning Iron and Titanium Co.,Ltd. | 1.65% | $0.54 | 31.99% |
| 009470.KS | Samwha Electric Co.,Ltd. | 1.65% | $500.14 | 26.53% |
| 009900.KS | Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd | 1.65% | $149.45 | 9.10% |
| 0743.HK | Asia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation | 1.65% | $0.04 | 25.13% |
| 0HDQ.L | Synergie SE | 1.65% | $0.50 | 9.05% |
| 1308.HK | SITC International Holdings Company Limited | 1.65% | $0.46 | 66.51% |
| 2273.HK | Gushengtang Holdings Limited | 1.65% | $0.48 | 19.04% |
| 300750.SZ | Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited | 1.65% | $6.07 | 43.20% |
| 300856.SZ | Nanjing COSMOS Chemical Co., Ltd. | 1.65% | $0.22 | 83.60% |
| 300932.SZ | Sanyou Corporation Limited | 1.65% | $0.20 | 84.47% |
| 323410.KS | KakaoBank Corp. | 1.65% | $360.28 | 37.33% |
| 5101.T | The Yokohama Rubber Co., Ltd. | 1.65% | $99.28 | 24.61% |
| 601228.SS | Guangzhou Port Company Limited | 1.65% | $0.05 | 45.08% |
| 603193.SS | Runben Biotechnology | 1.65% | $0.40 | 52.98% |
| 603312.SS | Suzhou W Deane New Power Elec | 1.65% | $0.77 | 41.51% |
| 9542.SR | Keir International Co. | 1.65% | $0.07 | 23.35% |
| CEVI.ST | CellaVision AB (publ) | 1.65% | $2.50 | 39.38% |
| SII | Sprott Inc. | 1.65% | $1.67 | 61.40% |
| ZUE.WA | ZUE S.A. | 1.65% | $0.21 | 51.75% |
| 2758.TWO | Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd. | 1.64% | $1.50 | 47.97% |