Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Arch Resources, Inc. (ARCH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$298.28 - $1,299.37$518.45
Multi-Stage$188.10 - $205.39$196.59
Blended Fair Value$357.52
Current Price$138.16
Upside158.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS45.82%23.25%11.1324.640.210.451.631.691.320.000.000.11
YoY Growth---54.84%11,816.24%-53.55%-72.72%-3.35%28.31%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-91.67%
Dividend Yield--6.98%18.74%0.15%1.07%5.65%1.84%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8922.4313.46
Cash Retained (M)88.1788.1788.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.89-22.43-13.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2865.7474.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
LTM Dividend per Share4.934.934.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.758.488.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$298.28$518.45$1,299.37
Upside / Downside115.89%275.25%840.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.45191.12203.54216.77230.86245.86253.24
Payout Ratio50.87%58.69%66.52%74.35%82.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.28112.17135.39161.16189.70221.28234.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.66103.63104.60
Year 2 PV (M)113.40115.56117.74
Year 3 PV (M)123.53127.08130.69
Year 4 PV (M)133.08138.20143.46
Year 5 PV (M)142.06148.93156.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,869.253,007.843,151.73
Equity Value (M)3,483.993,641.233,804.28
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
Fair Value$188.10$196.59$205.39
Upside / Downside36.15%42.29%48.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 79 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
600082.SSTianjin Hi-Tech Development Co.,Ltd.1.68%$0.0772.77%
603815.SSAnhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co.,Ltd.1.68%$0.1245.85%
7280.TMitsuba Corporation1.68%$17.578.76%
8985.TJapan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation1.68%$1,370.9717.79%
002836.SZGuangdong New Grand Long Packing Co., Ltd.1.67%$0.2597.86%
2419.HKDekon Food & Agriculture Group1.67%$1.167.76%
5357.TYotai Refractories Co., Ltd.1.67%$30.3125.15%
600312.SSHenan Pinggao Electric Co.,Ltd.1.67%$0.2934.28%
600933.SSIKD Co., Ltd.1.67%$0.3431.46%
603259.SSWuXi AppTec Co., Ltd.1.67%$1.5231.50%
688580.SSNanjing Vishee Medical Technology Co., Ltd1.67%$0.8161.33%
8359.TThe Hachijuni Bank, Ltd.1.67%$28.2722.23%
9597.SRLeaf Global Environmental Services Co.1.67%$0.5625.93%
BBMD.JKPT Bank Mestika Dharma Tbk1.67%$34.2540.25%
ELN.MIEL.En. S.p.A.1.67%$0.2325.56%
HARB-B.COHarboes Bryggeri A/S1.67%$2.0018.85%
HARVIA.HEHarvia Oyj1.67%$0.7256.92%
NORBT.OLNorbit ASA1.67%$2.9950.40%
002240.KSKiswire Ltd.1.66%$350.6518.13%
011780.KSKumho Petrochemical Co., Ltd.1.66%$1,950.8219.35%
0QI7.LAddtech AB (publ.)1.66%$3.2043.14%
1346.HKLever Style Corporation1.66%$0.0247.86%
1789.HKAK Medical Holdings Limited1.66%$0.1022.23%
273640.KQYM Tech Co., Ltd.1.66%$139.5629.02%
300039.SZShanghai Kaibao Pharmaceutical CO.,Ltd1.66%$0.1030.28%
603231.SSSolbar Ningbo Protein Technology Co., Ltd.1.66%$0.3032.96%
688575.SSShenzhen YHLO Biotech Co., Ltd.1.66%$0.2493.71%
AKBNK.ISAkbank T.A.S.1.66%$1.2213.20%
TFIITFI International Inc.1.66%$1.7745.37%
002124.SZTech-Bank Food Co., Ltd.1.65%$0.0526.60%
002978.SZSichuan Anning Iron and Titanium Co.,Ltd.1.65%$0.5431.99%
009470.KSSamwha Electric Co.,Ltd.1.65%$500.1426.53%
009900.KSMyoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd1.65%$149.459.10%
0743.HKAsia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation1.65%$0.0425.13%
0HDQ.LSynergie SE1.65%$0.509.05%
1308.HKSITC International Holdings Company Limited1.65%$0.4666.51%
2273.HKGushengtang Holdings Limited1.65%$0.4819.04%
300750.SZContemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited1.65%$6.0743.20%
300856.SZNanjing COSMOS Chemical Co., Ltd.1.65%$0.2283.60%
300932.SZSanyou Corporation Limited1.65%$0.2084.47%
323410.KSKakaoBank Corp.1.65%$360.2837.33%
5101.TThe Yokohama Rubber Co., Ltd.1.65%$99.2824.61%
601228.SSGuangzhou Port Company Limited1.65%$0.0545.08%
603193.SSRunben Biotechnology1.65%$0.4052.98%
603312.SSSuzhou W Deane New Power Elec1.65%$0.7741.51%
9542.SRKeir International Co.1.65%$0.0723.35%
CEVI.STCellaVision AB (publ)1.65%$2.5039.38%
SIISprott Inc.1.65%$1.6761.40%
ZUE.WAZUE S.A.1.65%$0.2151.75%
2758.TWOLouisa Professional Coffee Ltd.1.64%$1.5047.97%