Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AUPU Intelligent Technology Corporation Limited (603551.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.54 - $32.60$21.05
Multi-Stage$37.35 - $41.11$39.19
Blended Fair Value$30.12
Current Price$12.15
Upside147.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.89%0.00%1.100.750.610.420.340.200.630.360.660.77
YoY Growth--45.80%22.80%46.05%22.90%66.67%-67.62%74.71%-44.78%-15.30%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.36%6.89%5.33%4.53%2.83%1.16%2.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)295.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.0536.9122.15
Cash Retained (M)86.8986.8986.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.05-36.91-22.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8449.9864.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)386.90386.90386.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.610.670.71
WACC / Discount Rate4.71%4.71%4.71%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$14.54$21.05$32.60
Upside / Downside19.69%73.28%168.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)295.27299.68304.15308.69313.30317.97327.51
Payout Ratio70.57%74.46%78.34%82.23%86.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.38223.14238.28253.83269.80286.18302.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.71%4.71%4.71%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)211.00213.10215.20
Year 2 PV (M)213.06217.32221.63
Year 3 PV (M)214.62221.09227.69
Year 4 PV (M)215.70224.42233.39
Year 5 PV (M)216.35227.33238.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,381.5014,060.6814,767.17
Equity Value (M)14,452.2315,163.9415,903.82
Shares Outstanding (M)386.90386.90386.90
Fair Value$37.35$39.19$41.11
Upside / Downside207.44%222.58%238.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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