Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

WD-40 Company (WDFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$226.50 - $1,326.12$418.58
Multi-Stage$153.87 - $168.23$160.92
Blended Fair Value$289.75
Current Price$216.04
Upside34.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.88%8.75%3.703.483.293.092.822.662.422.181.981.74
YoY Growth--6.48%5.88%6.18%9.84%6.07%9.58%11.17%10.36%13.26%8.97%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.26%1.36%1.85%1.26%1.04%1.26%1.25%1.65%1.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.2011.376.82
Cash Retained (M)41.5341.5341.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.20-11.37-6.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.3330.1534.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5713.5713.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.722.222.56
LTM Dividend per Share3.653.653.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.722.222.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.375.876.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Fair Value$226.50$418.58$1,326.12
Upside / Downside4.84%93.75%513.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.9996.34102.01108.00114.35121.07124.71
Payout Ratio54.36%61.49%68.62%75.74%82.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.4759.2469.9981.8194.77108.97115.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Year 1 PV (M)54.6655.1855.70
Year 2 PV (M)59.5860.7261.88
Year 3 PV (M)64.2566.1067.99
Year 4 PV (M)68.6771.3274.06
Year 5 PV (M)72.8576.3980.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,767.611,853.501,942.70
Equity Value (M)2,087.612,183.222,282.39
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5713.5713.57
Fair Value$153.87$160.92$168.23
Upside / Downside-28.78%-25.51%-22.13%

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